Kituyi (UNCTAD): "the immediate perspectives for the field of the shipping remain uncertain and subject to the risk of a worsening"



Last year the increase of the total volume of the enlivened foreign trade by sea has been of +2.1%, a rate considerably inferior percentage to the average historical and the recorded contained increase more from 2009. It emphasizes the last edition of the "Review of Maritime Transport" of the Conference of the United Nations on the Commerce and Development (UNCTAD), publication that the organism of the UN has introduced today and that it evidences moreover as, in the short term, the perspectives of future increase of the marine transport join uncertain.

The relationship emphasizes moreover that, if the marked rate of growth last year has turned out content, in 2015 the historical record of the total volume of goods is established however transported by sea that record has been pairs to 10,047 billion tons compared to the previous recorded the year precedence with 9,843 billion tons.

Altogether last year the marine transport has enlivened beyond 80% of the world-wide commerce and - it has specified the UNCTAD - the slow increase of the shipping reflects the slowness of the increase of the total commerce even if with variations in the various sections. In particular, the marine transport of oil has marked the best performance from the 2008 (volume total of the oil traffic and of gas it is gone up by 2,82 billion tons in 2014 to 2,95 billion in 2015) thanks to the contents mark of the oil, to offered consisting and a stable question. However - specific the relationship - the total increase of the volume of goods transported by sea has turned out limited because of the limited rise of the transports of goods sand banks, in particular iron coal and mineral (the volume of the main raw materials - iron coal, mineral, grain, phosphate, bauxite and alumina - is come down to 2,95 billion tons regarding 2,99 billion in 2014; the volume of the other goods sand banks has been attested to 2,46 billion tons regarding 2,39 billion in 2014), and of the mediocre performances of the containerized marine transport (that it has totaled 1,69 billion tons - equivalents to 175 million container from 20 ' - regarding 1,64 billion in 2014).

The relationship of the UNCTAD finds moreover that, against this slow increase, the cargo ability offered from the shipping has continued to grow more going up in the 2015 of +3.5% to 1,8 billion gross capacities in tons (rate contained increase from 2002 - the relationship finds - even if advanced to the increase of +2.1% of the question), with a consequent thrust to the decrease of the hires who are come down to minimums record. The document remembers that last September in the section of the containerized marine transport the most important failure than always with crack cocaine of Hanjin Shipping has happened, that is the seventh largest company of the field.

The general secretary of the UNTAD, Mukhisa Kituyi, has observed that the smania of the companies to equip itself of ships of always greater ability "he is to the root of the problems of the field". "Currently - Kituy has stated - not there are loaded sufficient in order to fill up the ships of new acquisition"

"With the total commerce that grows to slower rhythm after the crisis financial institution - it has continued Kituyi - the immediate perspectives for the field of the shipping remain uncertain and subject to the risk of a worsening". In particular, some factors of risk for the shipping are represented by the decrease of the question of China, from the decrease of the prices of the raw materials, from the excess of ability to the fleets and from the geopolitical uncertainties in some Producers of oil and gas.

However the UNCTAD has emphasized that the perspectives in the long term for the marine transport remain positive, and this above all thanks to the continuous increase of the world-wide population and to the potential opportunities for the marine commerce and transports that can be generated from new infrastructural projects as the widening of the channel of Panama hat and the Suez Canal. "With all the bad news in the average on the state of the field of the marine transports - it has evidenced the director of the division on the technology and the logistics of the UNCTAD, Shamika N. Sirimanne - we forget that the commerce by sea continues to grow, offering to places of work and opportunity of increase for the Developing countries".