
Today, the World Trade Organization presented its latest reading,
relating to the last quarter of last year, of its Goods
Trade Barometer, the barometer designed to formulate forecasts of
development of world trade, with
values above 100 indicating higher trade volumes
to the trend and less than 100 indicating that trade in goods
has fallen below the trend or will do so in the
near future.
The last reading is 102.8, but the
WTO has specified that the growing uncertainty about policies
may have temporarily increased the volume of
trade as businesses and consumers have anticipated
imports before the introduction of potential measures, and more
later in the year, there could be a possible reduction in the
question.
With regard to the various component indices of the barometer, the WTO has
announced that they are currently in line with or above the trend. The
export orders (101.0), electronic components (102.3) and
commodities (101.6) are in line with the trend, while
indices of automotive products (105.5), transport of
containers (103.7) and air freight (102.7) are above
of the trend.
The World Trade Organization explained that in the third quarter
by 2024, the volume of world trade in goods continued to
recovering from the 2023 trade crisis by growing by +3.3%
year on year. Developments in the first three quarters of last year
- the WTO specified - have been largely in line with the most
recent WTO trade forecasts of last October 10 which
expected a +2.7% growth in trade volumes for
the whole of 2024. Although the global average has remained stable -
noted the WTO - there were some significant disparities
growth in trade: in particular, the
European exports and imports were much more
weaker than expected, while Asian exports and
North American imports exceeded expectations.