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02 July 2025 - Year XXIX
Independent journal on economy and transport policy
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84% of the new constructions ordered by the Italian shipyard will be built in China
Analysis by the Confitarma Study Center on the possible impacts of US tariffs on the national shipping industry
Roma
April 3, 2025
The tariff measures proposed by the government administration led by Donald Trump to counter alleged unreasonable or discriminatory policies or practices by the China that would burden or limit US trade could theoretically generate port duties (extra fees) aggregates up to $40-52 billion. This is highlighted by the study "Centro Studi Confitarma - Possible impacts of US tariffs on the Italian shipping industry" that we publish by and which was drawn up by the Study Centre of the Italian Confederation of Shipowners (Confitarma).

The report analyzes the measures envisaged by the United States Trade Representatives (USTR), which include duties of up to 1.5 million dollars for each call in the United States of ships built in China or operated by operators with orders on Chinese construction sites, and proposes impact simulations that estimate these relevant potential port surcharges for shipping, with repercussions on the competitiveness of the maritime industry and European manufacturing.

The study recalls that the US is a strategic partner commercial sector of Italy - the first recipient of exports from our country outside the EU - with over 63 billion euro, of which more than 60% travels by sea, is second after China for national imports with almost 26 billion euros of the 45% of whom travel by sea. In tons of goods transported, Almost 100% of imports and 98.2% of exports to and from the USA travels by sea.

In addition, the analysis shows that more than 17% of the fleet is built in China, a share that rises to 84% considering only the new buildings currently ordered by the Italian shipping industry and to be delivered by 2028. The types of ships potentially more exposed are cargo ships followed by ferries, chemical tankers and oil tankers. Through Analysis of three case studies The report gives an assessment of the possible repercussions for consumers, primarily Americans but also European because of the negative effect on the demand for imports from the United States.




CONFEDERAZIONE ITALIANA ARMATORI

Centro Studi Confitarma

POSSIBILI IMPATTI DEI DAZI AMERICANI SULL'INDUSTRIA DELLO SHIPPING ITALIANO

2 aprile 2025

Premessa

Con riferimento alle recenti conclusioni dell'indagine effettuata dall'Office of the United States of Trade Representative (USTR) per presunte politiche o pratiche irragionevoli o discriminatore da parte della Cina, che gravano o limitano il commercio statunitense, di seguito un'analisi dei possibili riflessi per l'industria armatoriale italiana.

In particolare, si fa riferimento alle seguenti contromisure proposte dall'USTR:
  • fino a 1 milione di dollari per ogni ingresso in un porto degli Stati Uniti di una nave gestita da un operatore cinese, indipendentemente dal Paese di costruzione della nave;
  • fino a 1,5 milioni di dollari per ogni ingresso in un porto degli Stati Uniti di una nave costruita in Cina;
  • fino a 1 milione di dollari per ogni ingresso in un porto degli Stati Uniti di una nave gestita da un operatore che ha in ordine navi in cantieri cinesi (in base alla percentuale in ordine in cantieri cinesi nei successivi 24 mesi).
Le proposte dell'USTR prevedono, inoltre, che una quota crescente delle esportazioni statunitensi venga trasportata su navi battenti bandiera statunitense e costruite negli Stati Uniti (15% entro il 2030).

Con riferimento alle predette contromisure verranno analizzati i dati relativi alla flotta mercantile:
  • di bandiera italiana;
  • controllata dall'industria armatoriale nazionale;
inoltre:
  • nuove costruzioni ordinate dall'industria armatoriale nazionale.
Infine, verranno illustrati tre case study relativi agli effetti della tassazione per due delle tipologie di naviglio potenzialmente maggiormente coinvolte.


Rapporti commerciali Italia-USA

Prima di scendere nel dettaglio dell'analisi sul naviglio è opportuna una breve ricognizione dei rapporti commerciali tra Italia e USA con riferimento alle modalità di trasporto.

Gli USA sono partner strategico commerciale dell'Italia. Al di fuori dell'Ue, sono il primo destinatario delle esportazioni dal nostro paese con oltre 63 miliardi di euro di cui oltre il 60% viaggia via mare e secondo dopo la Cina per le importazioni nazionali con quasi 26 miliardi di euro dei quali il 45% viaggia via mare.

Tabella 1 - Interscambio commerciale Italia USA per modalità di trasporto


IMPORTAZIONI ESPORTAZIONI

mil.€ % € .000 ton % t mil.€ % € .000 ton % t
Sea 11.641 45,0% 14.219 99,8% 39.612 62,1% 6.880 98,2%
Air 14.248 55,0% 32 0,2% 24.144 37,9% 126 1,8%

25.889
14.251
63.756
7.006
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Eurostat

Come facilmente prevedibile, il mare gioca un ruolo di primo piano in termini di quantità di merci scambiate tra i due Paesi. In particolare, in tonnellate di merci, quasi il 100% delle importazioni e il 98,2% delle esportazioni viaggia via mare.


Flotta di bandiera italiana

Per la presente analisi sono state considerate le navi di bandiera nazionale di oltre 1.000 GT. Dall'analisi delle fonti emerge che oltre il 17% della flotta è costruita in Cina. Il Paese del Sol Levante si posiziona al terzo posto dopo Corea del Sud e Italia.

Tabella 2 - Primi 10 paesi costruttori della flotta italiana


CANTIERE N. NAVI GT MEDIA ETA' % TOT
1 Corea del Sud 76 3.178.464 15 26,0%
2 Italia 135 2.903.480 28 23,8%
3 Cina 63 2.147.851 10 17,6%
4 Germania 23 1.129.736 29 9,2%
5 Croazia 19 761.674 20 6,2%
6 Giappone 10 581.437 26 4,8%
7 Finlandia 5 472.401 25 3,9%
8 Turchia 30 292.663 16 2,4%
9 Romania 12 256.017 16 2,1%
10 Spagna 7 78.302 22 0,6%


431 12.215.799 21
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Lloyd's Register - Sea-Web

Passando alle singole tipologie di naviglio, la tipologia più impattata dalle misure ipotizzate dall'USTR è quella del carico secco (portarinfuse e carico generale), seguita a grande distanza dai traghetti e dalle petroliere.

Tabella 3 - Ranking della Cina nelle classifiche per tipologia di naviglio dei principali Paesi costruttori della flotta di bandiera


RANKING DI CATEGORIA QUOTA
CARICO SECCO 1 99,3%
TRAGHETTI 3 23,3%
PETROLIERE 2 11,7%
CONTAINER 6 9,1%
CHIMICHIERE 4 6,7%
CROCIERE n.a. n.a.
GASIERE n.a. n.a.
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Lloyd's Register - Sea-Web

Va evidenziato che nella categoria dei traghetti al primo posto del ranking dei cantieri costruttori del naviglio di bandiera italiana figura l'Italia con una quota di oltre il 27% mentre, per le petroliere, il primo posto è occupato dalla Corea del Sud con una quota di oltre il 63%.


Flotta di controllata dall'industria armatoriale italiana

Passando alla flotta mercantile operata a diverso titolo dall'armamento nazionale (Group Owner, Register Owner, Operator, Shipmanager), sempre considerando le navi di oltre 1.000 GT, si evidenzia che oltre il 17% della flotta è costruita in Cina.

Tabella 4 - Primi 10 paesi costruttori della flotta operata dall'armamento italiano


CANTIERE GT N. NAVI MEDIA ETA' % TOT
1 Corea del Sud 11.274.621 161 13 43,0%
2 EU 7.086.158 329 27 27,0%
3 Cina 4.691.595 172 11 17,9%
4 Giappone 1.736.768 48 17 6,6%
5 Vietnam 472.783 16 9 1,8%
6 Turchia 452.305 48 16 1,7%
7 Brasile 78.399 4 21 0,3%
8 Russia 74.642 11 17 0,3%
9 Taiwan 66.532 2 7 0,3%
10 Singapore 63.642 3 14 0,2%


26.200.765 821 19
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Lloyd's Register - Sea-Web

Passando alle singole tipologie di naviglio, la tipologia più impattata dalle misure ipotizzate dall'USTR resta quella del carico secco (portarinfuse e carico generale), seguita dalle chimichiere e quindi dai traghetti e dalle petroliere.

Tabella 5 - Ranking della Cina nelle classifiche per tipologia di naviglio dei principali Paesi costruttori della flotta operata dall'armamento italiano


RANKING DI CATEGORIA QUOTA
CARICO SECCO 1 64,0%
CHIMICHIERE 1 47,0%
TRAGHETTI 2 28,0%
PETROLIERE 2 23,0%
CONTAINER 2 10,0%
GASIERE 4 4,0%
CROCIERE n.a. n.a.
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Lloyd's Register - Sea-Web

Va evidenziato che il 46% dei traghetti operati dall'armamento nazionale risulta costruito nei paesi dell'Ue.


Nuove costruzioni dall'industria armatoriale italiana

Passando al naviglio ordinato dall'armamento nazionale (Group Owner, Register Owner, Operator, Shipmanager) nei cantieri mondiali, sempre considerando le navi di oltre 1.000 GT, si evidenzia che oltre l'84% della flotta è in costruzione nei cantieri cinesi.

Tabella 6 - Primi 3 paesi costruttori delle navi ordinate dall'armamento italiano


CANTIERE GT N. NAVI % TOT
1 Cina 2.150.798 39 84,6%
2 Corea del Sud 346.165 1 13,6%
3 EU 46.180 4 1,8%
TOT
2.543.143 44
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Lloyd's Register - Sea-Web

Passando alle singole tipologie di naviglio, emerge che la totalità o quasi degli ordini relativi alle tipologie del carico secco (portarinfuse e carico generale), dei traghetti, delle container e delle chimichiere sono in costruzione in Cina.

Tabella 7 - Ranking della Cina nelle classifiche per tipologia di naviglio dei principali Paesi costruttori delle navi ordinate dall'armamento italiano


RANKING DI CATEGORIA QUOTA
CARICO SECCO 1 100,0%
TRAGHETTI 1 100,0%
CONTAINER 1 100,0%
CHIMICHIERE 1 90,0%
GASIERE 2 41,0%
PETROLIERE n.a. n.a.
CROCIERE n.a. n.a.
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Lloyd's Register - Sea-Web


Case study

Da un'analisi preliminare degli scali nei porti USA nel 2024 di navi commerciali e dell'attuale profilo della flotta nonché del portafoglio ordini delle società che gestiscono le stesse, ipotizzando che la distribuzione delle navi e la combinazione delle strutture tariffarie rimanga la stessa (sebbene la possibilità di ridistribuzione delle navi suggerisca che le commissioni effettive sarebbero inferiori a questa cifra), si stima che le misure proposte potrebbero teoricamente generare dazi portuali (extra fees) aggregati fino a $40-$52 miliardi.

Per contestualizzare: nel 2025 la “fattura” per conformarsi all'EU ETS (phase-in al 70%) è stimata nell'intorno di $4 miliardi, nel 2024 sono stati spesi circa $ 207 miliardi a livello globale per le navi di nuova costruzione, di cui $136 miliardi nei cantieri navali cinesi, $160 miliardi è la spesa totale per il bunker della flotta mondiale, il valore totale dell'intero commercio marittimo statunitense è pari a $2,2 trilioni.

Tabella 8 - extra costi sul costo del trasporto per tipologia di nave

TIPO NAVE ROTTA TARIFFA 2023/2024 STIMA EXTRA COSTO INCIDENZA MEDIA
Portacontainer standard da 10.000 TEU1 Asia-US East Coast con tre scali negli Stati Uniti 2023: media 1.250 $/TEU
2024: media 3.250/TEU
400-600 $/TEU 2023: 40% per TEU
2024: 15% per TEU
Portarinfuse Capesize2 Baltimora - Rotterdam 2024: media $15/tonnellata $ 8-12 a tonnellata 2024: 66%
Petroliera prodotti raffinati3 (38mila tonnellate) Houston - Amsterdam 2024: media $ 37/tonnellata $ 26-39 a tonnellata 86,00%
Fonte: elaborazioni Confitarma su dati Clarksons

  • Le tariffe per le singole navi potrebbero arrivare - worst case scenario - fino a 3,5 milioni di dollari per scalo (nave costruita in Cina, operata da una società cinese e con navi ordinate in Cina), sebbene l'analisi suggerisca che la maggior parte delle navi “interessate” potrebbe subire extra fees comprese tra 1/1,5 milioni di dollari:
  • per una portacontainer standard da 10mila TEU impiegata sulla Trans-pacific (Asia-USEC) con tre scali negli Stati Uniti per rotazione, le extra fee di 1/1,5 milioni di dollari per scalo equivalgono ad un maggior costo di trasporto effettivo aggiuntivo di 400-600 $/TEU (la tariffa di trasporto media 2023: circa 1.250 $/TEU, 2024: 3.250/TEU).
  • per una standard Capesize che trasporta carbone tra Baltimora e Rotterdam, i costi aggiuntivi di 1/1,5 milioni di dollari per port call equivalgono ad 8-12 $/t aggiuntivi di costo effettivo di trasporto (media 2024: 15 $/t, range annuale di 11-22 $/t). Per immediato confronto i costi nell'ambito dell'EU ETS sono minori di 1 $/t nel 2025 ed i costi stimati della sanzione FuelEU Maritime (-2% GHG) sono inferiori 0,5 $/t.
  • per una standard MR (min 38kt) che trasporta prodotti da Houston ad Amsterdam, costi aggiuntivi di 1/1,5 milioni di dollari equivalgono a un ulteriore 26-39 $/t di costo effettivo del trasporto (media 2024: 37 $/t, range annuale 26-59 $/t). Per immediato confronto nell'ambito dell'EU ETS sono ~2 $/t nel 2025 e i costi stimati della sanzione FuelEU Maritime (-2% GHG) sono inferiori a 1 $/t.

Tali maggiori costi ricadranno sui consumatori statunitensi attraverso la catena di fornitura determinando un aumento della pressione inflazionistica con effetti negativi sulla domanda di importazioni degli Stati Uniti. Allo stesso tempo anche la competitività delle esportazioni statunitensi (crude oil, prodotti raffinati ed LNG) potrebbe essere influenzata negativamente, con implicazioni potenzialmente significative per i consumatori europei.

1 TEU: unità di misura del container. Ogni TEU equivale a un container
2 Portarinfuse Capesize: in grado di trasportare fino a 170mila tonnellate di portata di carbone, metalli ecc..
3 Prodotti raffinati: gasolio, benzina, ecc.
››› News file
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d'Amico Tankers Sells Two 2011-Built Tankers for $36.2 Million
Luxembourg
They will be delivered to buyers by the end of July and on December 21st.
The Italian Merchant Marine Academy plans 13 new free courses
Genoa
Over 300 positions available
A delegation of Wista Italy visits the ports of Catania and Augusta
Catania/August
The association is made up of women who hold positions of responsibility in the maritime, logistics and trade sectors.
In the first five months of 2025, the port of Algeciras handled 1.9 million containers (-6.3%)
Algeciras
Empty containers decreased by -5.5% and full ones by -6.4%
Reway Group enters the port railway infrastructure maintenance sector
Licciana Nardi
Two contracts awarded by the AdSP of the Eastern Ligurian Sea
Delcomar and Ensamar take over maritime services with the smaller Sardinian islands
Cagliari
The tender for the six-year concession of the connections has been awarded
Port of Trieste, the newly appointed Gurrieri torpedoes the newly appointed Torbianelli
Trieste
Russo (Pd): it's a squalid power game
Singapore's SeaLead expands its maritime shipping offering to connect Turkey and Italy
Singapore
Route connected to services transiting the Suez Canal
The US Container Security Initiative program has been extended to Morocco
Rabat
Amrani: Let's consolidate Tanger Med's role as a safe and world-class maritime hub
Very positive first quarter for Greek Euroseas
Athens
Pittas: the positive momentum continued in the second quarter
Assonat and SACE present a plan for Italian tourist ports
Rome
Kuehne+Nagel has opened a new branch in Naples
Milan
The aim is to support the operational growth of the group in Southern Italy
RINA has acquired the entire capital of Finnish Foreship
Helsinki
The Helsinki-based company specializes in consulting in the field of marine and mechanical engineering.
Container traffic down at Barcelona and Valencia ports in May
Barcelona/Valencia
Resumption of containers in transit at the Catalan port
Annual cargo traffic in Greek ports stable in 2024
Piraeus
Domestic volumes are growing, while foreign trade is decreasing
Perplexity of freight forwarders, customs agents and maritime agents of La Spezia at the transfer of the port of Carrara to the Tuscan AdSP
The Spice
Timidly, they "hope for consideration for the progress made so far"
Francesco Mastro appointed extraordinary commissioner of the Southern Adriatic Sea Port Authority
Rome
He will take up office on June 30th.
John Denholm to be new president of the International Chamber of Shipping
Athens
He will take over from Emanuele Grimaldi in a year
Extraordinary commissioners of the two Ligurian Port System Authorities have been installed
Genoa/La Spezia
Matteo Paroli and Bruno Pisano at the helm of the institutions
Container traffic at Hong Kong port drops sharply in May
Hong Kong
1.05 million TEUs were handled (-12.7%)
Assogasliquidi-Federchimica shows the way to accelerate the decarbonization of road and maritime transport
Rome
Amadei: Our sector is ready and the time has come for courageous industrial choices
Eagle S tanker command blamed for cutting submarine cables in Gulf of Finland
Advantages
The accident was caused by the ship's anchor
Online platform to report critical issues that put transport workers at risk
Genoa
It was prepared by Fit Cisl Liguria
GNV to create a direct summer connection between Civitavecchia and Tunis
Genoa
It will run alongside the historic route via Palermo
The unification of Grimaldi's concessions in the port of Barcelona has been completed
Madrid/Barcelona
The contract expires on September 20, 2035.
In the first five months of 2025, cargo traffic in Russian ports fell by -4.9%
St. Petersburg
A decrease of approximately -12% was recorded in May
Raben Logistics Group Creates Subsidiary in Türkiye
Milan
It will have 20 employees and a 2,000 square meter cross-dock warehouse
Alberto Dellepiane confirmed as president of Assorimorchiatori
Rome
The composition of the entire association leadership remains unchanged
Agreement between Fincantieri and Indonesian PMM to develop solutions to face new unconventional underwater challenges
PORTS
Italian Ports:
Ancona Genoa Ravenna
Augusta Gioia Tauro Salerno
Bari La Spezia Savona
Brindisi Leghorn Taranto
Cagliari Naples Trapani
Carrara Palermo Trieste
Civitavecchia Piombino Venice
Italian Interports: list World Ports: map
DATABASE
ShipownersShipbuilding and Shiprepairing Yards
ForwardersShip Suppliers
Shipping AgentsTruckers
MEETINGS
The Assarmatori assembly will be held in Rome on July 1st
Rome
"Mediterranean against the current" the theme of the meeting
The public meeting of the International Containers Studies Center will be held in Genoa on July 2nd
Genoa
››› Meetings File
PRESS REVIEW
US has its eye on Greek ports
(Kathimerini)
Proposed 30% increase for port tariffs to be in phases, says Loke
(Free Malaysia Today)
››› Press Review File
FORUM of Shipping
and Logistics
Intervento del presidente Tomaso Cognolato
Roma, 19 giugno 2025
››› File
Structural adaptation works on dock 23 of the port of Ancona awarded
Ancona
Intervention worth over 11.8 million euros
Conference on the role of LNG and bioLNG for the decarbonisation of transport and industry
Rome
The Federchimica-Assogasliquidi event will take place on Monday in Rome
Dutch Bolidt increases presence in cruise ship sector with acquisition of American Boteka
Hendrik Ido Ambacht
Contship Italia has acquired the Genoese customs services company STS
Melzo
The Ligurian company was founded in 1985
Francesco Benevolo has been appointed extraordinary commissioner of the AdSP of the Central-Northern Adriatic Sea
Rome
He is the operations director of RAM - Logistics, Infrastructure and Transport
Montaresi resigns as commissioner of the Eastern Ligurian Port Authority
The Spice
In the eight months of administration - he underlines - we have not lost even a second
Gurrieri has been appointed extraordinary commissioner of the AdSP of the Eastern Adriatic Sea
Trieste
Pending the completion of the formal process for the designation of the president
The commissioners of the AdSP of Western Liguria have handed over their mandate to Minister Salvini
Genoa
The decision is part of the process of designation and nomination of the new leaders
Confetra criticizes the provisions of the decree-law Infrastructure for road transport
Rome
The Confederation urges the blocking of the process of appointing the presidents of the port authorities
Taiwanese Evergreen, Yang Ming and WHL saw revenue decline in May
Keelung/Taipei
The decline is accentuated for the two main companies
South Korea's KSOE wins order to build eight 15,900 TEU containerships
Seongnam
The unit value of each vessel is approximately $221 million.
First port terminal for car traffic of Greek Neptune Lines
Piraeus
It will be inaugurated next year in the French port of Port-La Nouvelle
The assembly of the association of Genoese maritime agents and brokers will be held on June 16th
Genoa
Round Table on Genoa, the hub of the North West and the Mediterranean
BN di Navigazione Board of Directors Renewed
Genoa
BluNavy aims to reach one million passengers by 2025
Viking Line designs world's largest all-electric ro-pax vessel
Viking Line designs world's largest all-electric ro-pax vessel
Åland
Record Monthly Container Traffic at Turkish Ports
Ankara
In May, almost 1.4 million TEUs were handled (+17.6%)
Sergio Landolfi has been elected president of the Customs Association of the Port of La Spezia
The Spice
The board of directors has been renewed
The ferry industry elite will attend the Interferry conference in Salerno in October
Victoria
Event titled "Connections"
Uniport launches an initiative to support ALS research
Rome
Fundraising for the NeMO Clinical Center Serena Foundation Onlus
The Propeller Club of Genoa has analyzed risks and opportunities of using AI in the maritime and insurance sectors
Genoa
The importance of training in the use of technology was highlighted
Chantiers de l'Atlantique delivers luxury cruising yacht Luminara to The Ritz-Carlton Yacht Collection
Saint Nazaire
The ship will debut in Alaska
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