Independent journal on economy and transport policy
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The evolution of the volume of the world-wide exchanges of goods confirmation the current macroeconomic inactivity
Relationship of the International Transport Forum. The commerce with foreign country by sea of the EU and the USA is still under the levels pre-crisis
December 16, 2011
. It is an ascertainment, that completed from the International Transport Forum (ITF) of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Develop (OCSE) referring to the more recent data on the traffic of the goods, than rassomiglia to a heavy sentence for many world-wide nations waiting for a resumption on a global scale in order to contribute to the reorganization of own economies.
The total picture for the total transport of the goods – it has confirmed the ITF - is of inactivity. The last data collected until september 2011 evidence by sea that the volumes of goods, measured in tons of enlivened cargos, indicate an macroeconomic stagnation, with a commerce with foreign country of the European Union (to 27 Countries) and of the USA that has remained under the levels pre-crisis (respective -4% and -5% on July 2008) and with a commerce for aerial way of the EU and the USA, over levels pre-crisis respective of 4% and 1%, that a bending in the short term shows.
The ITF has found that the dependency of the total economy from the increase of Asia is in increase, with the exports by sea from the EU and the United States towards Asia, in particular towards China, that they continue to increase. The data to last September show that the marine exports from the United States and the ' EU towards Asia are time respective of 17% and 28% over the levels pre-crisis.
Vice versa the commerce of the EU and the USA for aerial way with Asia and China is diminished when the rates of growth of the export are dropped and the imports have a contraction quickly. In particular, the imports for aerial way from Asia are in continuous decrease from last April are in the EU that in the USA.
Moreover the question of the advanced economies continuous to being weak person and the imports by sea in the United States and the EU has remained under the levels pre-crisis. The ITF has found that also the last data on the imports for aerial way indicate an ulterior weakening of the question, while only the German imports seem in controtendenza respect to a scene to the decrease.
The fields of the rail shipment and street show a resumption that anticipates various speeds. The rail shipment goods in Europe is recovering and the volumes are time of 7% levels beneath destagionalizzate pre-crises in terms of ton-kilometer, while in the United States and Russia the volumes of rail shipment of goods are time beneath to 4% and 2% of according to trimester of 2008. In the European Union the road haulage shows a slow recovery and the gap regarding according to trimester of 2008 remains meaningful.
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