Independent journal on economy and transport policy
06:46 GMT+1
This page has been automatically translated by Original news
Attended a dynamic increase of the crocieristica industry until 2025
Analysis of the British Ocean Shipping Consultants on the evolution of the market
August 23, 2013
The crocieristica industry will have a dynamic increase until 2025. It previews the British Ocean Shipping Consultants (OSC) that in its last publication "World Cruise Ports and Shipping" esteem that the field will record an sensitive increase of the number anniversary of passengers accommodated from world-wide the crocieristica fleet, that it will go up from 20,9 million about of 2012 to about 24 million passengers in 2015, to 29,7 million in 2020 to go to 36,4 million passengers in 2025, with a total increment of 74%.
OSC considers that the America North will continue to dominate the world-wide market of the cruises in terms of origin of the passengers and the crocieristici operators, but - it has specified the advising society - Europe and Asia/Oceania will record a strong increase and this will have important implications on the distribution of the ability to the crocieristica fleet, on the development of the crocieristici ports let alone on the construction and the repair of cruise ships.
In particular, the America North, as origin market, will continue to dominate the market from here to 2025 even if in the period its quota would have to come down from current 56% to 50%. One previews that the European markets of origin will reach 12 million the passengers within 2025 and are attended moreover a strong increase from Asia and the remainder of the world with a total aggregate that it will represent beyond 17% of the world-wide total in 2025, having gone up 6,3 million passengers, regarding 12.7% in 2012 and to 8.4% to half of years 2000.
One previews that the ability to the world-wide fleet of cruise ships will grow from the 464,000 beds of 2012 to 866.000 in 2025.
In its last relationship OSC it has analyzed also the composition of world-wide the crocieristica fleet emphasizing that currently the ships with an inferior ability to 1.000 low beds represent 51% of the fleet total in terms of number of ships, but only 14.4% in terms of total ability to the world-wide fleet. Meanwhile the great ships of advanced ability to 2.000 low beds are leader of the market in terms of ability to passengers with 62% of the total and are a category that has constituted also the main slice of orderbook of the new ships of the last years having characterized strongly profile of development of the crocieristica fleet. Moreover the world-wide fleet of the cruise ships is dominated by the flags of convenience (FOC) that they wave on 238 ships in exercise pairs to about 64% of the world-wide fleet, while under the flags of western Europe continuations from the ships of other world-wide flags operate 72 ships (19% of the total).
For that it regards the operators, the crocieristica industry is dominated by a relatively meager number of companies, with the first 15 that they represent almost 80% of the ability total of passengers and with first five crocieristiche companies (RCCL, Carnival Cruise, Princess, Coast, NCL) that alone they represent 49% of the total. The relationship evidences that if in such I compute holds account of the tonnage controlled from the various crocieristiche companies, the distribution of the ability to the fleet shows a marked concentration, with the first three crocieristici groups that stop 73% of the ability total of the world-wide fleet.
If the Caribbean constitutes the more important by far world-wide crocieristica region, during the last few years the Mediterranean - that it is second the main area of the cruises - has grown meaningfully for importance, while during the last few years the Europe North has recorded one of the fastest increases that are generated - it has found OSC - not only by the European markets, but also from the markets of the America North. Moreover the increase more consisting recorded beginning from the half of years 2000 is that of the Asia-Oceania market, where the total ability is increased more than six times in period 2004-2012.
For that it regards the crocieristici ports, the America North is leader with about 10,74 million passengers imbarcatisi last year in the ports of the region, area that during the last few years a reversal of the precedence has recorded bending trend that had resulted from the impact of the economic crisis (with a number of the passengers diminished of 2.4% in 2008 and 1% in 2009). In the 2012 number of passengers embark yourself altogether in the European ports has reached quota 5,7 million, with an increase of 2.5% regarding 2011 and with a doubling regarding 2005.
In the field of the construction of cruise ships, the European ship yards continue to being the world-wide center of the production of ships even if during the last few years - it has observed OSC - the section of the shipbuilding has seen an increase of the competition inside a market that has been contracted and seen also to outside grow and to strengthen the coming competition from Europe, in particular from Asia. The market of the repair of the cruise ships is dominated by the ship yards of the USA and part of the nations of western Europe. About the price of the new constructions of cruise ships, the relationship evidences as the variations of the prices until the half of years 2000 have been relatively contained, while the next one to the boom of the shipbuilding one has carried the average price for bed to grow quickly and considerably from 197.000 dollars in 2006 almost 350,000 in 2009. From then the price of the new constructions of cruise ships a bending so as it has happened for the other types of ship, with medium levels of come down price has shown little more than 250.000 dollars in 2012. The deliveries of 2013 - it has specified the British society - seem to follow the recent tendency with an average price for relative bed of 198.000 dollars to three ships of great dimensions.
- Via Raffaele Paolucci 17r/19r - 16129 Genoa - ITALY
phone: +39.010.2462122, fax: +39.010.2516768, e-mail
VAT number: 03532950106
Press Reg.: nr 33/96 Genoa Court
Editor in chief: Bruno Bellio No part may be reproduced without the express permission of the publisher