IATA previews that in the period the 2014-2018 aerial cargo will record a medium annual rate of growth composed of +4.1%



In the quinquennium the 2014-2018 aerial cargo will record a medium annual rate of growth composed of +4.1%. It previews the International Air Transport Association (IATA): "the aerial transport of the goods - it has found the general manager and managing director of the association, Tony Tyler - continues to being vital as not never for the economic system. This year more than 6.800 billion dollars than goods, pairs to 35% of the value of the world-wide commerce, will be transported all over the world for aerial way. Therefore he is comforting to examine a forecast of return to the increase for the field of the transport to aeromere us after various years of stasis. An average of advanced increase to 4% for next the five years would clearly represent an improvement of the performances of the last years. From 2011, for example, the increase of the transport goods in tons has been in average hardly of 0.63% per year". "However, although the positive picture - it has continued Tyler - sussistono multiple risks of a worsening of the economic perspectives, and therefore of the aerial transport. Commercial protectionism constitutes a constant danger. According to the World Trade Organization, in the single period between November 2013 and May 2014 112 new restrictive commercial measures are emanated from the governments of the G20. The geopolitical tensions, the volatility of the prices of the oil and the competition capacity from the railroads and the marine transport could have an impact also on this forecast. The industry of the aerial transport - it has emphasized Tyler - cannot certainly afford to wind down the guard".

In the 2013 volume world-wide total of the goods airlift is piled to beyond 50 million tons, with an increase of about a million tons regarding the year precedence. The forecast of the IATA of an increase of the medium annual rate of growth composed of +4.1% in period 2014-2018 is based mainly on the esteem of increase of some markets: according to the association, within the 2018 United States, China and the United Arab Emirates will today record an increment of a million tons of the aerial cargo respect and, in particular, the United Arab Emirates will replace Germany which third greater world-wide market. The international routes in which a faster increase will be recorded will be - second the association - those between the Middle East and Asia (+6.2% annual), the internal routes to Middle East (+4.6%), those between the America North and South America (+3.9%) and the routes between Europe and southern Africa (+3.8%).

According to the forecasts of the IATA, moreover, the region in more fast increase in period 2014-2018 will be the Middle East with a medium annual rate of growth composed of +4.7%. The second region with greater increase will be Africa with a +4.4%, continuation from Asia/Oceania and Latin America both with a +3.8%. The mature markets of Europe and the America North will grow respective of +3.0% and +2.8%.

The IATA considers that in the 2018 the ten put up international markets of the aerial cargo will be the United States (10.054.000 tons), China (5.639.000), United Arab Emirates (4.974.000), Germany (4.763.000), Hong Kong (4.648.000), the Republic of Korea (3.487.000), Japan (3,48 million), United Kingdom (2.808.000), Taiwan (2.350.000) and India (2.223.000). Moreover Iran would have to be the nation to record the fastest increase (between those with more than 100.000 tons than goods per year) with a medium annual rate of growth composed of +7.0%; however - it has specified the association - draft of an increase from a base lowland, than within 2018 will add alone 44,000 tons of goods for a total of 156.000 tons. According to market in more fast increase, India, will experience a medium annual rate of growth composed of +6.8% with an increment of 622.000 tons, followed from Bangladesh (339,000 tons totals of goods), Ethiopia (319,000) and Nigeria (276,000).

With respect to the traffic quotas to aeromere to us for international routes, the IATA considers that, if in the 2013 greater quotas traffic to aeromere there were those of the routes within the region of Asia/Oceania (21.6%), of the routes Europe-Asia/Oceania (12.3%) and of the routes in the North and Mean-Appease (10.0%), in the 2018 quotas the routes in the region Asia/Oceania and of that Europe-Asia they turn out increased light reaching respective 21.8% and 12.4%, while the routes Medium East-Asia will more show the increase emphasized with an increase of 0,8 points percentages to 6,9%. The quotas traffic of the routes in the North and Pacific Mean, those internal ones to Europe and the routes in the North Atlantic in the 2018 must have all recorded a decrease at least 0,5 points percentages coming down respective to 9,5%, 9.0% and 8.9%.