Is the Europe Platform indeed necessary to throws again of the port of Livorno?



The perplexities of mayor of Livorno, Filippo Nogarin, on the ingegnerizzazione plan financial institution for the realization of the first phase of the Europe Platform in the port of the Leighorn city, that it is introduced in recent days in Harbour Committee and that - as a result of the observations of the first citizen - the Harbour Authority has decided to return public ( of the 13 and 15 May 2015), they derive from the consideration that "the Europe Dock will become truth only if the private ones will decide to invest 750 million euros in this project".

He finds the livornese Nicoletta Batini, economist and whom candidated from mayor Nogarin to the presidency of the Harbour Authority of Livorno, observing that "the mayor in fact has evidenced all the criticalities of the feasibility study that the Harbour Authority has commissioned through contest to the society Of Apollonia of Genoa, than then has made use of the advising and the job of the Ocean Shipping Consultants di Egham (UK): a dossier - it emphasizes - than in no way will be able to convince Italian and foreign private banks and not financial investor to be part active in the realization of this infrastructure".

Nicoletta Batini rimarca that if on one side "the advisers of the Harbour Authority of Livorno declare themselves sure of the future expansion of the question, assuming for the twenty-year period a 2014-2035 increment of the traffic pairs respective to 60% (base houses), 54% (low houses) and 70% (high houses), - specific the economist - moreover equal in all the Italian ports in spite of the numerous differences and the competition who between these exist", from the other "the experts consulted from mayor Nogarin has found the total absence of a statistical model to the base of these forecasts: the flows - the Batini explains - are obtained simply multiplying the teus recorded in the last years for an obtained number dividend the increase attended in terms of export for the attended increase in terms of GDP, without neither to consider that in Italy the relationship between export and GDP it stretches by now over recent years to being always negative. Moreover - the economist adds - the scenes base, low and high a priori exclude bendings of export or the accelerations of the question in Italy regarding the potential yield also for a single year, supplying a distorted vision of the risks that are all assumed towards the high".

Nicoletta Batini signals also "that the 4,65 - obtained from Ocean Shipping Consultants dividend the attended increase in terms of traffics with the attended increase in terms of GDP - are a lot distant from the opinions are diffused near the "world-wide temples" of the economy and the finance. According to the Global Outlook of Oxford Economics - it specifies - this number for 2015-20 has a value pairs to a third party (1,6), while according to the International Monetary Fund the value is pairs to 4,1 for 2015 but it comes down to 3 in 2019. Other study does not emerge therefore in no - the livornese economist emphasizes - the possibility of an increase of traffics in assumed Alto Tirreno as that exponential one from Ocean Shipping Consultants, indeed a slow down of the export is considered probable in the next few years to total level".

According to the Batini, moreover, "the study does not contemplate in some way a serious analysis of sensitività "with Europe Dock and without Europe Dock", that he is instead fundamental in order comprising if the new infrastructure is indeed necessary to throws again of the port. In particular - it finds - not there is trace of a proposal alternative to Europe Dock, for example a new project that slightly affords the income of ships more small regarding those on which the infrastructure is calibrated. Some analysis does not exist at last that allows to comprise eventual consequences that a breathtaking increase of the flows container could have on other fields, which the cruises and the short-sea shipping".

In conclusion, for the Batini, "the exposed criticalities and the necessity of the project financing return therefore of fundamental importance at least a careful appraisal by the Harbour Authority of Livorno of the job introduced from the Ocean Shipping Consultants, if not quite a new study realized ex novo from other society. Although the price of this advising, than - the Batini asserts being associated to the denunciation of the mayor - has cost 200,000 euros very: according to the experts, from the two to the five times more regarding analogous work developed from notes society of the field".