In Italy the transport modalities continue the slow down of the increase in all



Conjunctural Note 2018 elaborated from Centro Studi Confetra (General Confederation Italiana of the Transports and the Logistics) shows a slow down of the increase in all the transport modalities. The specific document that such dynamics, as evidenced in the semiannual Conjunctural Note of last June, is begun in the second half of the first semester and has emphasized in the second half of the year having travelled over again the course of the index of the found industrial production from the Istat: in the first six months a medium increase of the tendential rates +2.7% that goes dimming itself with passing of the months and a second half of the year with average of the -1,3% that carries the average of the entire year to +0.7%.

As in the first semester - Confetra has explained - the sections that less have suffered than this conjuncture have been that street and that corrieristico whose increase turns out however slowed down. First it has made to record a +2.4% in groupage and a +2.5% in the international one to loaded suit (against a +6.1% and a +6.5% in 2017), confirmed is from the grown highway traffic of +2.6% in the first eleven months, is from the transits in the increased alpine passes of +3.3%. The corrieristico branch has recorded a +2.5% in the national deliveries (against a +3.5% of the year precedence) and a +4.0% in those international ones (against a +6.9% of the 2017) coherent one with the continuous expansion of the e-commerce. The purchases on-line of the Italians from national and international sites - it has specified the Confederation - reach in fact 27,4 billion euros.

In land negative the data of rail shipment (- 0.4% treni/km) and that airplane (- 0.4% in tons) that they mark an abrupt one braked regarding the waits. A bending of Malpensa (- 3.2%) and an increase of Fiumicino (+11% is found moreover).

Also the transport by sea shows a worsening regarding the semiannual data and to the trend of years 2016-2017. It holds the containerized trade of final destination (+4.8%, but against +7.4% of the year precedence) and that ro-ro with a +2.5% in the entire year respect to a +4.7% in single the first six months and a +8.1% in 2017. They pass in land negative liquid bulk (- 1.0%) and solid bulk (- 4.6%) and continues dramatically to withdraw transhipment (- 10.1% against a -10,0% in 2017) with the -56,3% of the port of Cagliari and the -4,9% of the port of Gioia Tauro.

Relatively to the turnover, it is the road haulage is the international shipments mark a tendency online with that of the traffic confirming the staticità of the rates.

The forecasts of traffic for the first semester of 2019 - Confetra has announced - are strongly indicative of "sentiment" of the operators and the climate of uncertainty: if for 2018 our champion of companies it previewed for 59% stable traffics (had grown in way supported in 2017) and for 41% ulterior increase - it has explained the Confederation - the percentage of which of it they previewed the decrease was 0, while to end 2018 it is of 12.2%. For the first half of 2019 56.8% expect stability and 31.1% increase.

"The Bank of Italy - it has observed the president of Confetra, Nereo Marcucci - finds in the bulletin January 2019 that "continues to get worse the perspectives of the world-wide commerce. The total perspectives they weigh on the relative risks to an outcome negative of it negotiate commercial between the United States and China, to the possible one to riacutizzare of the tensions financial institutions in the emergent Countries and to the modalities with which the Brexit will take place". The slow down of the economic activity in China - it has found Marcucci - will add seeming of many experts, ulterior elements negatives. To these exogenous factors that, always second the Bank of Italy, "they have influenced the perspective appraisals of the enterprises on the orders foreign countries" I hope do not have to be added, as it has happened in 2018, the reduction of the internal question in particular of the investments and, to a lesser degree, the expense of the families and the decrease of the industrial production in Germany, France and Italy. For our economic field and the Country - it has emphasized the president of Confetra - he is indispensable an action of the government and Europe strongly oriented in anticyclical sense that is towards the investments in useful infrastructures".