Independent journal on economy and transport policy
07:24 GMT+1
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the reduction of the cost of the bunker could determine an aggravation of the excess of ability to the fleet of portacontainer
Analysis of Alphaliner on the possible minor rerun to the slow steaming
October 24, 2014
According to the forecasts of the society of Alphaliner advising, the continuous bending of the prices of the oil will have meaningful implications on the field of the containerized marine transport since by 2013 about 7% of the total ability to the world-wide fleet of portacontainer it is made to navigate to lowland speed in order to contain the costs of the fuel.
Alphaliner has remembered that, after a limited initial reduction of the speed of the ships put into effect in the second half of the year of 2007 when the price of the fuel is begun to go up, from the 2009 companies of navigation, between the assumed initiatives in order to obtain a reduction of the main voices of cost, has to introduce the slow steaming, diminishing therefore considerably the speed of part of the ships of own fleets. Successively, since in the first months of the 2012 prices of the fuel records are gone up to levels reaching a peak of beyond 700 dollars/ton for fuel oil IFO 380, the super extra slow steaming and slow steaming as the second one and third measure is adopted in order to contain the costs of the fuel reducing ulteriorly the navigation speed.
According to the esteem of Alphaliner, currently the cargo ability of the ships absorbed from the measures of slow steaming adopted by the companies is of about 1,3 million container teu and therefore about pairs to 7.1% of the total ability to the world-wide fleet of portacontainer. Alphaliner has found that from the 2013 this percentage he has remained stable to about 7% as the prices of the bunker have remained stable to about 600 dollars/ton, while now, with the prices of the fuel down, the economic benefits of these initiatives assumed from the navigation companies are carved and this could induce the carriers to increase the navigation speed, chosen that - has observed the society - the current situation of excess of ability to the world-wide fleet of portacontainer would aggravate since would be freed a quota or quite all 7% of the fleet employed in navigation in slow steaming. According to Alphaliner, since such change of the situation will mainly have initially an impact on the ships rented to time, the Operating Owners could not be the most hit from the reduction or zero setting of the quota employed ships to reduced speed.
Remembering at last that the price of bunker IFO 380 is diminished of about 35% from 2012 coming down last week to 460 dollars/ton to Rotterdam, level more low from 2010, Alphaliner has observed that, based on the calculations elaborated from the society, if the price of the fuel had to come down under the 400 dollars/ton the costs ship could be reduced by means of the adoption of elevated operating speeds moderately more and, with an ulterior reduction of the price bunker to a level of about 300 dollars/ton, an increase of the speed of service of portacontainer at least the 21 knots could be programmed.
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