National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates previews a pull-up of the containerized imports in the USA



The National Americans Retail Federation (NRF) and Hackett Associates preview that the containerized imports in the USA will considerably grow in the months of september and October in order then to record an attenuation and at last a decrease at the beginning of the next year. In the their last relationship "Global Port Tracker", the American federation of the retail business and the societ&agra; of advising they explain to consider that, if last month the imports in container in the United States have attested second the last esteem to 1,43 million container teu, with an increment of +4.4% on August 2011, the increase trend in the following months will endure a pull-up going up to +8,5% in September the 2012, month in which is previewed a traffic of 1,49 million teu, and to +11,7% next October with 1,48 million teu. For the next month of November a traffic of 1,32 million is attended teu, with an increase of +1.9% on November 2011, for December 2012 a traffic of 1,25 million teu (+2.7%) and for the month of January of a 2013 traffic of 1,23 million teu, with a decrease of the -3,8% on January 2012.

If in the first half of the 2012 containerized imports in the USA they have been pairs to 7,7 million teu, with an increase of 3.0% on the first semester last year, Hackett Associates and NRF they preview that in the entire the 2012 traffic one will attest 16 million teu, with a progression of 4.2% on 2011.

These forecasts it weighs on but the unknown quantity of possible strikes in the ports of the coast oriental and the USA Gulf: the negotiations for I renew of the contract between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and the Maritime United States Alliance, in fact, has an arrest quickly last month and some representative premises of the ILA have authorized strikes if the new contract for the ports of the East Coast and the Gulf will not be renewed within the expiration of the contract currently in vigor, that september is fixed for next the 30. "The traders - she has found the vice president Supply Chain and Customs Policy of NRF, Jonathan Gold - are carrying greater quantitative of goods in sight one of the festivity of this year. The issue is if in some ports the harbour workers will be on the docks in order to unload them". Gold however has specified that, "beyond that will happen as a result of the negotiations for the contract, the traders have in existence alternative plans in order to do so as that the goods arrives on the shelves of the stores in time and that not there are problems for the purchasers".

Ben Hackett, founder of the Hackett Associates, has observed that the marine containerized trade is influenced by the forecast of possible strikes in the ports: "anticipating a possible strike - he has explained - the importers have emitted orders before the customary one to the aim to make sure that their goods would have arrived in time and, most likely, they also have diverted on West Coast destined deliveries to the East Coast. Consequently August seems to be is a relatively good month and september will be also over the norm. Moreover West Coast will at least benefit from the diversion of the goods until October".