Independent journal on economy and transport policy
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In the last decade the losses of ships are diminished of beyond a third party
The last relationship of precise AGCS that in 2017 is recorded a decrease of -4%
July 18, 2018
In the last decade in the field of the marine transport the losses of ships are diminished of beyond a third party (38%) and this tendency to the decrease is continued in 2017 when the loss of 94 great ships (beyond the 100 tons of tonnage is recorded), with a decrease of -4% regarding the year precedence (98), according to number more low of last the ten years (in the 2014 was found 89 losses). It evidences the relationship "Safety & Shipping elaborated Review 2018" from Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty IF (AGCS), the company of the Allianz group specialized in the great risks. If the analysis emphasizes that the trend of the total losses is decreasing, with the bad weather that is the cause of a loss on four and with losses centralized in "critical zone" constituted by waters of southern China and the Asian south-east where the loss of 30 ships has been marked, rimarca also that recent events as the incident of the Sanchi oil tanker and the impact of the NotPetya malware on the harbour logistics demonstrate as the field of the marine transports is put to the test by a series of challenges emerged notes and in matter of risks.
"The decrease of the frequency and the gravity of the losses totals in the last year - it has found Baptiste Ossena, global product Hull leader & Marine Liabilities of AGCS - confirmation the positive tendency of the last decade. The demands for compensation have been relatively lowlands and reflect the improvement of the planning of the ships and the positive effects of politics of management of the risks and the regulation of safety in the time. However, with the increase of the use of the new technologies on board of the ships, we expect that in future changes in the field of the losses in sea happen. Besides the traditional incidents, as collisions or groundings, it will increase the number of demands for indemnification for technical reasons, as computer science risks or technological defects".
AGCS has listed various factors that represent new exposures to the risk for the field of the marine transports: the more and more large container vessels place problems of control of fires and rescue; the climatic change involves new risks on the routes, with conditions in fast change in waters of the Arctic and the northern Atlantic that involve ulterior dangers; the attention for the atmosphere is growing as the field tries to reduce the emissions, but this door with himself the danger is of new technical risks is of incidents that can damage the machinery; the marine carriers continue to having to on board balance advantages and risks of a greater automation; I attack computer science of NotPetya has caused to delays in the transport goods and the congestion in almost 80 ports, emphasizing the threat of computer science risks for the field.
If in a 2017 almost third party of the losses of ships one has happened in the marine region of southern China, Indo-china, Indonesia and Filippine, with a annual increase of which had 25% to the activity in Vietnamese waters, to out of Asia the region of the Mediterranean oriental and the Black Sea is the second area with the greater number of losses (17) continuation from the British islands (8). According to analysis AGCS, a annual increase of 29% of the marked incidents of navigation in waters of Arctic polar circle (71 has been recorded also).
Moreover in the 2017 ships cargo (53) they have represented beyond the half of all the lost ships world-wise. The losses endured from the ships from peach and passengers are diminished regarding the year precedence. The ships portarinfuse have been protagonists of five of the 10 put up losses totals in terms of tonnage. The more common cause remains the sinking, with 61 cases of this genre in 2017. The shipwreck/silting up is to according to place (13), followed from the breakdowns to machinery/motor (8).
Analysis has found moreover that friday is day more dangerous in sea, with 175 of 1,129 losses totals recorded that they are verified in this day in the past decade, and that friday 13 can indeed be considered an ill-fated day since with three ships they have gone lost in this day of 2012, between which Costa Concordia, the greatest marine insurance loss of all the times. The more ill-fated ship () of last year is a ferry fleeting that work in the Mediterranean oriental and the region of the Black Sea, involved in seven incidents in 12 months all caused from damages to machinery.
Relatively to the incidents caused from errors humans, the relationship observes that, although ten-year-old of improvements of safety, they continue the mortal incidents in January as those been necessary to the Sanchi oil tanker 2018 and the El ship Lighthouse as a result of the Joaquin hurricane at the end of 2015, and the human behavior is often a determining factor. Esteem that gives 75% to 96% of the navigation incidents humans, that they are also to the origin of 75% of the 15,000 analyzed lefts of the insurance field of the marine liability from AGCS, for a cost of 1,6 billion dollars have had themselves to errors.
"The human error - commander Rahul Khanna, global has explained head Marine Risk Consulting of AGCS - continues to being one of the main causes of incidents. The inadequacy of the support to earth and the commercial pressures has an important role for marine safety and the exposure to the risks. The locked rhythms can have an impact negative on the culture and the decisional process in safety matter". Khanna has found as a better use of the data and the analysis could be of aid: "analyzing data 24/7 - it has specified - we can obtain new information from the behavior of the crews and the "almost incidents" in order to identify the tendencies. The marine industry has learned from the endured losses in the past, but the predictive analysis could represent the difference between a sure travel and a disaster".
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