Independent journal on economy and transport policy
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All the Harbour Committee of Livorno (less the mayor) agrees on the indispensability to realize the Europe Platform
the study on the feasibility and the forecasts of traffic - Nogarin has denounced - is of dubbia quality and has cost too much to the collectivity. Provincial: the affirmations of the mayor are serious
May 13, 2015
Today the Harbour Committee of Livorno has expressed itself almost unanimously because it is proceeded quickly with the iter of realization of the project of the Europe Platform that previews the construction of a new container terminal, a new terminal for the Freeways of the Sea and of a new dock oils. Besides the series of favorable opinions in fact the perplexities manifested from the mayor of the Leighorn city are recorded also, Filippo Nogarin, with respect to the contents of the studies of competitive analysis and ingegnerizzazione introduced financial institution to the Committee from the experts of ATI formed from Ocean Shipping Consultants (OSC) and Of Appolonia, with the analysis on the forecasts of traffic of the Europe Platform and the data of the study of feasibility from the technical point of view and the point of view of market of the first phase of the project, that it previews the realization of the area to assign to terminal for containers.
In order to define the traffic forecasts the illustrated study this morning to the Harbour Committee it has examined three macroeconomic cases: the case base (increase continued in period 2015-2019); the case low (continued instability, the resumption is slower and weak person and is continuation from a slower rhythm of the expansion in the medium term); the case high (improved resumption, that it presumes better performances of the economy in a 2015 and more positive subsequent development).
The experts of the British OSC have formulated the forecasts of question for the port of Livorno leaving from a panoramic one of at the market harbour the reported current economic situation of Alto Tirreno, that he assigns to Livorno a quota pairs to 13.8% of the local market of import-export, to 0% of the international market of transit (towards the countries of central Europe) and to 16% with reference at the market of transfer. According to the OSC, these market shares they will remain constant for the years that go from 2015 to 2019, "after that - the study evidences - the developments of the Europe Platform begin to having a positive impact on the flows anniversaries". After the initial "RAM-up" a general increment of these quotas is previewed in fact: the local market share would have to reach 20% within 2021 in order then to increase ulteriorly to 23% in 2025, arriving to 25% in 2030 and 28% in 2035. The quota the international market of transit would have to reach 20% within 2021 in order then to increase ulteriorly to 30% in 2025, passing to 40% in 2030 and 50% in 2035. Even if of relative importance smaller, the transfer quota is destined to increase of 17% in 2021, of 18% in 2025, until arriving to 20% in 2035.
The study finds that, on the base of these data, the forecasts on the development of the Europe Platform cannot that to be positive, it is with reference to low the houses that to those more optimistic (high houses). The question of container for Livorno would have in fact to pass in 2020 to 930 thousand teu, second the scene worse, or to a million teu second that best one. In the 2025 port of Livorno it will touch million and means teu, exceeding it and arriving to 1,63 million on the base of the more optimistic forecast. And so on: 1,90-2,08 million teu in 2030 and the 2,33-2,67 million one teu in 2035.
This will be possible if and only if beginning from the 2019 project of the Europe Platform will be next to the complete maturation. If the Europe Platform were not developed - the study explains - "the perspectives for Livorno is problematic". In fact the run-up to naval gigantism will have as immediate consequence the marginalization of the terminalistiche structures currently you anticipate in the commercial port. "All this - law in the study - will be translate in a decrease of the container volumes. The ulterior developments of abilities previewed to Vado Ligure, the competition of the genoese terminals (Voltri and Sech), impose instead that Livorno continues with the plan of widening to sea of the existing port".
Remembering that the harbour landings place of Vado Ligure and Trieste already are prepared in order to satisfy the requirements future of the dimensional increase of the ships portacontenitori and that instead today Livorno does not succeed to receive ships with advanced ability to the 7,000 teu, the study emphasizes that the 16 meters of depths offered from the project of the Europe Platform are more than sufficient to satisfy the requirements of the ships of last generation, but would be however prudent to guarantee to the promoter that had to win the contest of project financing the possibility to deepen the backdrops until -18 meters, in case desires. In short, he is advisable to avoid happened how much in Tuscany Dock, where the imbasamento of the docks to -13 meters is profitable impossible to deepen the backdrops under that quota. "Although a draught of 16 meters is more that apt to the dimensions of the ships that currently scale Livorno - specific the study - the possibility to preview greater depths would afford to the Leighorn port of call to answer blow on blow to Vado Ligure and Trieste".
Besides the element of the depth of the backdrop, second the study, fundamental to the aims of the decision of a harbour operator to call at Livorno will be the frequency, the reliability and the ability to the offered intermodal services from the port. Under this point of view - the experts of the Ocean Shipping Consultants observe - the Leighorn port of call has many papers to play itself: "Livorno - they explain - is very placed and has various ways of access that allow them to reach Italy easy center-northerner. The new investments in the railway net (the reference is to the railway terminalizzazione of the two sides of the Tuscany Dock, and to the project Connection) will then favor an expansion of the commercial relationships also with the markets of the Europe center".
In conclusion, for the students of the OSC, the project of the Eruorpa Platform he is highly competitive is regarding the projects currently in yard in other ports (Maersk Platform to Vado Ligure) is respect to other terminalistiche structures (Sech and Volrti to Genoa; Trieste Marine Terminal in the giuliano port). "The Europe Platform - the experts write - very will be equipped in order to satisfy the requirements of the marine companies and will offer a convincing proposal also with reference to the markets of Central Europe, on which wide of for research purposes new spaces of maneuver profitable commercial exchanges exist".
The project, however, does not constitute only an opportunity, but it is also a necessity: without projects of development of the existing port, in fact, the Leighorn port of call will be able to survive until 2025, but not beyond. Within that year, in fact, the number of Large Hooligan Ship Container in circulation so will be elevated to condemn to the oblivion all those ports that will not have the ability to manage adequate cargo volumes. ? Without the Europe Platform, the cargo quota will continue to drop passing from current 13.8% to 5% in 2025, until almost annulling itself in 2035 when to Livorno will be enlivened hardly 2% of the traffic altogether enlivened in Alto Tirreno.
With respect to the necessary investments for the realization of the project, the ingegnerizzazione plan financial institution of the Italian society Of Appolonia estimates necessary 800 million euros, of which 504,46 million in project finacing and 300,68 million to public loaded total. The experts have emphasized that the cost total estimated for the civil works of comprehensive the Europe Platform of the works to total public financing and of those financed through the project finance has a cost of 606,62 million euros, to which they will go added the costs of the planning, the equipments and the systems of estimated large square and dock in 198,52 million euros.
On the base of the cronoprogramma, the date of beginning of the work is assumed in order on January 1°, 2017. Moreover, in consideration of the costs, the private investor would have to be able to operate on a concession of the duration 50-year-old for having a return of the investment. On the base of the traffics previewed for the Europe Platform a return to teu of 110 riconducibile euros to handling of containers in boarding and disembarkation and to other auxiliary services has been estimated.
The study does not give alternatives to the port of Livorno, than without the Europe Platform it would be condemned to the marginality. A perspective that has not convinced, evidently, the mayor of Livorno that has raised some perplexities own on the content of the studies of competitive analysis and ingegnerizzazione financial institution, criticizing also the modalities with which the Harbour Authority it has entrusted to ATI Ocean Shipping Consultants-D'Appolonia the assignment to write up the studies. "The report - Filippo Nogarin has denounced - is of dubbia quality and has cost too much to the collectivity, more of the double quantity regarding the average cost of the studies today in circulation".
An accusation that is rejected flatly by the general secretary of the Harbour Authority: “the affirmations of the mayor - it has replied Massimo Provinciali - are serious. The study, so as every producing of the intellect that regards mankind, is migliorabile, but - it has added - as in charge of the administrative car of the agency cannot tolerate that suspiciones that the Harbour Authority has failed to the principle of the transparency and the legality. If Nogarin has an idea alternative of development of the port to that of the Ocean Shipping Consultants, you anticipate a study that has a level of scientific dignity pairs to what we have today introduced”.
“If this that is introduced - has agreed the representative of the entrepreneurs in Harbour Committee, Umberto Paoletti - it does not answer to the wished one of the mayor, I waited for me that the same one makes cargo to manage a proposal alternative that has the same capacity and the same characteristics. In order while - it has concluded - it is gone ahead with maximum solicitude, without to raise ulterior objections”.
The president of the Chamber of Commerce of Livorno, Sergio Costalli, has manifested a “annoyance”, “an annoyance - he has specified - that generates worry for the future. If we are not joined, if all together we do not hold the left bar to straight on the most important one of the Europe Platform - he has emphasized - we risk serious trouble. The times - it has convene - must be respected and with conviction”.
“More that to want to stimulate of the reflections - has asserted the representative of the harbour enterprises, Enzo Raugei - me it has seemed that the mayor has given free reign to own inquisitory pulsione in confronts of the Authority. The Ocean Shipping Consultants is between the best societies than advising to the world and its analysis deserves respect, creed is duty of all to go ahead with the iter”.
Of the same warning also the representative of the workers, Maurizio Strazzullo, than also asking the right Authority clarifications regarding the “perplexities” raised by the mayor, has wished that, in the interest of all the community, goes itself ahead with the publication of the contest ban.
From part its president of the Harbour Authority, Giuliano Gallanti, has agreed with how much it previews the study, that is that without the Europe Platform the harbour port of call is destined to end to the margins of the main routes of world-wide the marine traffics. And with regard to the contest, Gallanti has announced that it will soon stipulate with the National Authority Anticorruzione a convection on the control of the transparency and the liceità of all the procedures that, during the executive phase, will carry to the realization of the Europe Platform.
Also the president of the Region Tuscany, Enrico Rossi, has rimarcato the necessity to tighten on the times. Except misfortunes, in fact, they will want at least two years to us before being able to begin to put the first stone in yard: ten months will serve in order to characterize the private investor and of it ten will serve others in order to write up the definitive project and the appraisal of environmental impact. “Today - it has emphasized Rossi - we are all in order to try here to make to become Livorno between the more important ports of Europe. We have invested a lot as Region on this project financing and we believe ourselves”. For Rossi, the fact that the State has promised to contribute with 50 million euros to the realization of the work is in itself meaningful: “it wants to say - it has observed - than the government believes in the project and it invites to us to proceed quickly. For this I ask president Gallanti to accelerate and to engage themselves to publish the contest ban by July”. With respect to the previewed convention with the National Authority Anticorruzione, Rossi has emphasized that it is “an optimal idea: in this way - he has found - we put ourselves protected from surprises that in work course could become esiziali”.
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