Independent journal on economy and transport policy
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It continues the decrease of the number of losses totals of ships
the AGCS annual report evidences the increasing risks determined from the reduction of the investments, the computer science pirates and the conditions weather
March 21, 2016
In the 2015 incidents in the transport marine world-wise that have caused the integral loss of the ship they have been 85, figure that confirmation the tendency to the decrease in existence from 2012. It evidences the fourth edition of "Safety and Shipping Review 2016" of the insurance company Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty IF (AGCS), that it examines the advanced marine losses to 100 tons of tonnage.
Although the number of losses has remained stable, dropping hardly 3% regarding the year precedence (88) - the relationship observes - 2015 it has been the surer year in the marine transport of the last decade and by the 2006 losses they are diminished of 45% thanks to better conditions than safety and to a more solid self-regulation.
The specific relationship that permangono however differences for E region type of ship. More than a quarter than all the losses have happened in southern China, Indo-china, Indonesia and Filippine (22 ships). The losses in these regions, with the exception of other important areas, are increased regarding the year precedence. Moreover the cargo and the fishings boat have represented more of 60% than all the losses, and for the first time in three years those of the cargo are increased. The more common cause of the losses totals has been the shipwreck (sinking), that it represents almost 75% of the losses, in increase of 25% regarding 2014, and often had to the bad time.
According to the report, in the 2015 they have been 2,687 marine incidents in the world (included the losses totals), with a decrease of -4%. That of the Mediterranean oriental and the Black Sea, with 484 incidents, confirmation the area with the greater number of lefts.
The relationship finds that if the tendency to the decrease in the marine losses in the long period is encouraging, the persistent phase of weakness of the world-wide economy, the bending of the prices of the raw materials and excess of ship are placing a pressure on the control of the costs increasing the problems legacies to safety. According to AGCS, an increase in the frequency of the losses happened in last the 12 months it can be attributed in sure measure to this situation.
"The economic recession and its impact on the marine field - Rahul Khanna has confirmed, AGCS responsible Marine Risk Consulting - could have a negative infuence on safety. Many fields, as those of the goods several, the bulk and the offshore one, are already to risk and any reduction of the standards of safety will represent a serious reason of worry".
For AGCS, "it is essential that, in safety matter, the economic pressures do not afford a philosophy of "will be thought after"". The insurance company has emphasized that "some shipowners are already lengthening to the maximum the intervals of the times of maintenance, while others are laying up the ships". "To reactivate these ships in a market that has been transformed from the technological point of view - Jarek Klimczak has explained, senior AGCS navy risk consultant - he can become difficult. The requirement of procedures standardized of disarmament exists".
The insurance company has evidenced moreover that, besides to influence for maintenance on the investments of the ships, the requirement of cost reduction can get worse the conditions of the crews, safety of the passengers and the operations of rescue. In particular, AGCS has specified to have assisted in the last decade to an increase in the demands for indemnification due to the "fatigue" (fatigue) and has found that, with a crew reduced to possible the minimal level and with the forecast of a decrease of the staff, the necessity of longer turns of job could aggravate the problem.
With respect to safety of the passengers, AGCS has rimarcato that, even if important progresses in this field are completed, they remain above all of the worries for the not international travels, with some regions of Asia still very far regarding the international standards, as it demonstrates the number of recent losses of ferries in waters of the Asian south-east.
The relationship is stopped also on the risk of incidents to the mega one portacontainer, of the ability to beyond 19.000 teu, that they are making their income on the market and last month evidences as the happened incagliamento of ship CSCL Indian Ocean of China Shipping Lines Container, that it has remained blocked for several days in the Elba river, in Germany, is giving life to many questions on the possibility of a more serious incident. In particular, the relationship perceives that the shipping it could you must yourself be prepared to a scene of losses totals that could cost beyond a billion of dollars adding 200 million dollars about of the value insured of the body ship, 532 million dollars for the loss of cargo (80% of the value of 35.000 boarded the 19,000 dollars of everyone of container) and 300 million dollars for the removal of property left at death and the other burdens.
Moreover the relationship puts in evidence that exceptional the meteorological events are becoming more frequent and provoke to ulterior risks and damages to the supply chain. In the solo the 2015 bad time has been the cause of three of the five more serious marine incidents with loss of the ship, included one of the greatest marine disasters in the USA of the last decades, that is that been necessary to the El ship Lighthouse.
At last the relationship takes in consideration another important risk, that legacy to the always greater dependency that the marine field has regarding the technology, with an exposure to the computer science risk that very goes beyond the loss of the data and a risk - it has emphasized Andrew Kinsey, senior AGCS navy risk consultant - that goes hand in hand with the always greater employment of electronic aid for navigation.
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