Independent journal on economy and transport policy
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the Group Young Shipping of Confitarma has analyzed the drastic change of the market of the oil
Examined the impact on the shipping
December 15, 2015
The Group Young Shipping of Confitarma has analyzed today the drastic change of the market of the oil to which it has dedicated a specific seminary of deepening that has held to Rome near the Shipping center of the Italian Confederation. Remembering that in the last year and means the prices are of the Brent whom of the Wti they have lost beyond 50% and that many analysts preview that the prices of the oil will be many low also for all 2016, the president of the Shipping Young people of Confitarma, Andrea Garolla of Bard, have found that "this revolution in the market of the oil has various origins that - it has observed - do not more only depend from dynamics tied at call and offered to the oil on the market but, probably depends on the Middle Eastern geopolitical scenes and not only, from the policies of the OPEC and those of concurrent producers as The United States and Russia".
According to Salvatore Carollo, expert of the field and author of the book "Understanding Oil Prices", the prices of the oil more are by now not controlled by the OPEC that deciding in 1988 the indexing to the value of the Brent, has in fact delegated to the world-wide finance the fixation of the price of the oil. Regarding the field of the marine transports - it has added - given the demanded increasing of oil the requirement will be manifested to enliven more crude oil with determined characteristics also on new broken with consequent hard a refined development of the movement of producing with consequent interesting opportunities for the transport is of crude oil that of producing oil.
Jon Fredrik Müller, international expert of the field and senior project manager Rystad Energy, considers that "a negotiation of the price of the oil to the levels of the Thirties and early 40 s, in the medium term becomes indefensible. Towards 2020 - it has evidenced - there will be need of a price of the oil meaningfully more fort, to the aim to stimulate the investments in order to return the industry able to elaborate projections of the total question. 2016 - it has concluded - will continue to being a difficult period for the oil industry and of the gas, but from the 2017 market it would have to improve with a strengthening of the price of the oil".
Enrico Paglia, research manager of Banchero Costa Group, has asserted that as a result of the reduction of the price of the oil the enterprises save on the cost of the bunker and, at the same time, they strengthen the question of oil and the resumption of the exchanges. All this in the course of 2015 has allowed with the section of the tankers to strengthen the timid signs of resumption in order to exit from a crisis that lasts from the financial crash of 2008. Straw therefore has illustrated the possible future scenes for the tanker used after the transport is of crude oil that of producing oil.
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