Quotidiano indipendente di economia e politica dei trasporti
15:44 GMT+1
Il CdA della compagnia norvegese I.M. Skaugen ASA respinge l'OPA ostile della Montanari
La società italiana offre 60 corone norvegesi per azione, prezzo ritenuto insufficiente
10 luglio 1999
La compagnia italiana Navigazione Montanari ha lanciato un'offerta pubblica d'acquisto sulla totalità delle azioni sulla società norvegese I.M. Skaugen ASA (IMS) al prezzo di 60 corone norvegesi per azione, che determina il patrimonio complessivo della società norvegese, quotata alla Borsa di Oslo, in 390 milioni di corone norvegesi. L'offerta della Montanari è stata subordinata ad alcune condizioni, tra cui quella che le adesioni alla sua OPA siano tali da permetterle l'acquisizione di almeno il 50,1% del capitale della IMS. L'operazione, avviata lo scorso 5 luglio, ha una durata di due settimane (inforMARE del 25 giugno).
Il Consiglio di amministrazione della I.M. Skaugen ha ora respinto l'OPA ostile della Montanari, spiegando in un documento rivolto agli azionisti - che riportiamo di seguito - le ragioni che dovrebbero convincerli a non accettare l'offerta, affermando in particolare che la proposta della Montanari non riflette il reale valore della società, che è superiore.
La compagnia italiana resta tuttavia convinta della validità della sua offerta, nonostante il Consiglio d'amministrazione della IMS affermi di possedere il 54% delle azioni della società.
To the shareholders of I.M. Skaugen ASA, Oslo, 8 July 1999
9. Jul. 1999
Statement from the Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen ASA
On 5 July 1999 the shareholders of I.M. Skaugen ASA ("I.M. Skaugen") received an offer from Navigazione Montanari S.p.A, Italy, ("Navigazione Montanari") to buy all the shares in I.M. Skaugen at a price of NOK 60 per share.
The Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen have not invited or encouraged Navigazione Montanari to make such an offer, and the company's Board of Directors were not notified that such an offer would be made. Pursuant to section 4-16 of the Securities Trading Act the company's Board of Directors is obligated to issue a statement regarding this offer. The Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen have obtained written evaluations from two independent financial houses, Handelsbanken Markets and DnB Markets. Their recommendations have been enclosed and the relevant background material is available at the company's office.
The employees of the I.M. Skaugen group are primarily attached to the subsidiaries of the group. A clear majority of the group's employees reside in countries outside of Europe, and thus there is no common body that represents the employees. The employees do also not have any elected representative on the company's Board of Directors. It has therefore not been practically possible to obtain the views of the company's employees with respect to the offer that has been made as required in section 4-16 of the Securities Trading Act.
On the basis of an overall evaluation, the Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen have adopted the following recommendation:
"In the opinion of the Board of Directors, the offer from Navigazione Montanari does not reflect the value of the underlying assets in I.M. Skaugen and the company's potential for further value creation. Thus the Board of Directors do not recommend the company's shareholders to accept the offer. This recommendation is based on written evaluations of the offer by Handelsbanken Markets and DnB Markets, which have been obtained on the initiative of the company. None of the board members or key management personnel who own shares directly or indirectly through companies that they control in full or in part, including by proxy, will accept the offer. It has not been practically possible to obtain the views of the company's employees with respect to the offer that has been made."
This recommendation is unanimous and thus none of the board members will be accepting the offer for shares they own directly or indirectly through companies that are controlled in full or in part by the board members or by proxy. 54% of the company's shares are controlled in this connection by representatives of the company's Board of Directors or key management personnel, and these will reject the offer. A condition of the offer was an acceptance of minimum 50.1% of the company's shares.
Grounds for the recommendation:
I.M. Skaugen's activities can be divided primarily into three different business areas: Transport of petrochemical gases (Norwegian Gas Carriers Ltd., hereinafter called NGC), lightering of oil in US coastal waters (Skaugen PetroTrans Inc., hereinafter called SPT), and what is collectively called the "China activities", which consists in turn of three parts: Recruitment and training of crews, transport of LPG by specially designed units on the Yangtze River (TNGC), and transportation of chemicals in Asia (Princess Carriers).
NGC - Gas activities
Transportation of petrochemical gases with vessels measuring from 6000 to 9000 cubic metres is the company's largest business area measured by the amount of capital that is tied up.
The transportation of gas is a cyclical activity in the same manner as other types of international shipping. A cycle for NGC's gas activities lasts on the average between 6 and 7 years. The most recent market low was in 1993 and high was in 1995. In recent years, the rates in the gas market have been historically low, and this has had impact on the company's earnings. NGC has worked diligently to reduce its operating costs, and today the company is one of the most cost-effective companies in the gas segment.
With the efforts that have been made on the cost side of NGC and in connection with the development of SPT, the company is about to realise its goal that I.M. Skaugen shall not lose money during an economic downturn, laying thus the foundation for good earnings with even a slight increase in the freight rates for gas carriers.
The NGC fleet's (Norgas Average) estimated breakeven level, which is the revenue we need in order to cover our total operating, management and depreciation expenses (not including, however, NGC's share of the Group's financial expenses), has been reduced through our many measures in recent years from approximately USD 375.000 per month per vessel in 1992 to an estimated current level of USD 250.000 per month. This corresponds to an estimated annual saving of USD 19 million through lower costs for our 14 vessels. We are pleased to note that these many measures have been successful and that we have achieved these results at the same time as the operational regularity of our vessels and our service to our customers have been improved. During this same period our vessels have grown 6 years older without this affecting our attitude that we can still achieve reductions through measures to improve efficiency and the internationalisation of our operating concept. The Board has a clear goal that NGC shall at all times be a leading company with regard to costs and service within its segment, and we believe, based on the results we have achieved, that we can reach this goal.
The Board of Directors has commissioned external financial advisors to perform valuations of the company. These show that the discounted future cash flow from the gas segment gives a value per share that far exceeds the values that are derived when the current estimates of vessel values from independent shipbrokers are used. These valuations from the external financial advisors are based on what we consider to be a conservative scenario, where the average future rate may be slightly less than the average rate achieved over the last ten years. The Board of Directors is of the opinion that there are a number of factors indicating an imminent upturn on the gas market. There are for example signs of better times in the Asian economy and a growing demand for ethylene. The Board of Directors is convinced that the combination of an expected improvement in the gas rates and the company's cost-effective operations will give the shareholders a better return over time than in recent years and since the last economic turnaround.
The Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen is of the opinion that more can be achieved on both the income and cost side by a consolidation in the gas market. The company will therefore continue to actively seek appropriate forms of co-operation within this segment, and keep the door open to other solutions that can safeguard the value of the shareholders' assets. A good solution for the shareholders must be a solution that will provide the shareholders of I.M. Skaugen with a reasonable share of the synergistic gains that can be realised through an industrially correct consolidation.
SPT - Lightering activities
SPT is currently responsible for approximately 68% of I.M. Skaugen's turnover and satisfies our internal profitability requirements. The lightering activities carried out outside US coastal waters are marked by a high level of service to customers maintained by the competence of the organisation. A high entrance barrier due to the strict requirements with respect to safety and know-how and thus a dedicated effort to operate without accidents has resulted in the lightering activities have showed better earnings than traditional tanker activities over time. The company has since being founded handled a total of 3.3 billion barrels of oil to US ports. The company has not experienced any accidents or accidental discharges of any significance, and this has contributed to the company's excellent market position in this segment.
SPT has implemented a successful cultivation of the software element. Moreover, its use of chartered-in tonnage has reduced the amount of capital tied up, reduced risks, and made the company less vulnerable to fluctuations in the tanker values.
SPT operated an average of 8.4 Aframax vessels during the first half of 1999 and posted earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation (EBITDA) of USD 7 million. The average annual earnings on an EBITDA basis has been around USD 8 million the last three years (incl. the forecast for all of 1999). Even with a gradual decline to this level a value of USD 40 million for SPT alone is justifiable. A value of around USD 40 million for SPT alone corresponds to NOK 48 per share in IMS.
China activities
The Board of Directors considers the investments in Asia to be interesting. We are in particular expecting a great deal from the transport of gas by specially designed barges on the Yangtze River. This activity has been developed through a joint venture with local partners, and I.M. Skaugen owns half of the operating company, TNGC. Cooperation with Chinese partners has given us access to both local and national decision-makers, which is considered to be decisive for success in the Chinese market.
The market potential for this type of operation in China is enormous. We can mention that our transportation of gas on the Yangtze River covers an area that includes five provinces with a population of more than 280 million people, all of whom are potential users of gas for heating, cooking and lighting. Moreover, there are significant industrial activities in the area. Today the most important energy carrier in the area is brown coal. We are relying on a gradual development of the infrastructure in the area so that it will be easy for individual consumers to change over from brown coal to the far cleaner and more environmentally friendly gas alternative.
The Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen regard the investments in China as a long-term investment with a substantial potential, but we do not expect any return on the capital in the short term.
Conclusion
In the opinion of the Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen the offer of NOK 60 per share from Navigazione Montanari does not reflect the value of the company's underlying assets nor its increase in value potential. The book value of our fixed assets in all our activities alone gives a price of NOK 86 per share. Our internal analyses, based on the discounted estimated cash flow, show that the value of each share range between NOK 96 and NOK 165. Our view is supported by the value estimates from Handelsbanken Markets and DnB Markets. We find, however, that we should point out that we do not believe that these values will always be fully reflected in the share price on the Oslo Stock Exchange in the short to medium term. We are, however, convinced that the shareholders can receive a very good return on their investment instead of a sale of the company at NOK 60 per share if the company continues its strategy and focus on service and cost-effectiveness in the gas transport and lightering segments. The Board of Directors will seek to promote and safeguard the value of the shareholders' assets and will not exclude any alternatives in this connection. The alternatives that are put forward must, however, reflect the value of the underlying assets in a reasonable manner, and they must give the shareholders of I.M. Skaugen a fair share of the synergies that can be realised through a sensible and industrially oriented consolidation.
Yours sincerely I.M. Skaugen ASA Board of Directors
For the attention of the Board of Directors of I. M. Skaugen ASA
Fairness opinion by Handelsbanken Markets
In accordance with Handelsbanken Markets Investment Banking ("Handelsbanken") assignment from the Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen ASA ("I.M. Skaugen"), we hereby express the following opinion (the "Fairness Opinion") to the Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen with respect to the offer by Navigazione Montanari S.p.A to acquire all outstanding shares in I. M. Skaugen ASA (the "Offer") not already held by Navigazione Montanari S.p.A or any company directly or indirectly owned by Navigazione Montanari S.p.A.
We have conducted an analysis and review of I. M. Skaugen and its subsidiaries as a group.
For the purposes of this review, we have had no access to confidential information, and the review has been based entirely on public information. We have assumed that all information is factually correct, accurate and complete in all material respects and, whilst we have critically examined the information, we have not conducted an independent audit or verification of this information. The management of I.M. Skaugen has confirmed to us that they are not aware of any facts or circumstances which would render the information on which our work is based, either incorrect or insufficient to any material extent. We have not made or obtained any independent evaluations, appraisals, etc. of the assets or liabilities of I.M. Skaugen, nor have we been given or seen any such materials.
This Fairness Opinion has been produced exclusively in connection with this assignment and may therefore not be referred to or used for any other purpose. This Fairness Opinion does not constitute a recommendation to the Board of Directors of I.M. Skaugen or any shareholder as to whether to accept the Offer or not.
Based upon, and subject to the foregoing, and in light of the current market conditions and the circumstances of the Offer, it is the opinion of Handelsbanken that the offer of NOK 60 per ordinary share in I.M. Skaugen is not fair from a financial point of view to the shareholders of I.M. Skaugen. An evaluation of I.M. Skaugen based on a discounted cash flow basis, suggests that the value of I.M. Skaugen in a conservative scenario is in the order of NOK 135 per share. A more optimistic scenario can give values up to NOK 173 per share. Please notice that discounted cash flow analysis are sensitive to changes in the assumptions, and should accordingly be used with caution.
It should also be noted that Handelsbanken does not assume that such values will be fully reflected in the stock price of I.M. Skaugen in the short to medium term. The historical pricing of the I.M. Skaugen share suggests that the share price tends to be valued at a premium relative to the fundamental value during shipping market peaks. We therefore expect that the market will revalue the share relative to the fundamental value of the company if the shipping market conditions improve.
Yours faithfully,
To the Board of Directors of IM Skaugen ASA
Opinion on the tender offer from Navigazione Montanari S.p.A to acquire shares in IM Skaugen ASA
DnB Markets has on your assignment prepared our opinion on the price per share in IM Skaugen ASA offered by Navigazione Montanari S.p.A.
In arriving at our opinion, we have among other things:
Reviewed publicly available information regarding IM Skaugen ASA
Reviewed annual reports for 1996, 1997 and 1998
Reviewed report and accounts for the first and second quarter of 1999
Conducted discussions with the management of IM Skaugen ASA regarding the business, expected development in earnings and market outlook.
In preparing our opinion we have, with your consent, relied on the accuracy and completeness of all information supplied or otherwise made available for us, or publicly available, and we have not assumed any responsibility for independently verifying or undertaken an independent evaluation of such information.
DnB Markets has analysed the net asset value of IM Skaugen both from a value-adjusted balance sheet and a discounted cash flow perspective. Based on the assumptions applied, the net present value of IM Skaugen is considerably higher in our analysis than the value reflected in the cash offer of NOK 60 per share set forth by Navigazione Montanari S.p.A. The offered price is also considerably below the pricing that has been applied in recent acquisitions of other shipping companies listed at Nordic stock exchanges.
On the basis of the above, we are of the opinion that the Board of Directors of IM Skaugen ASA should recommend the shareholders of the company not to accept the tender offer from Navigazione Montanari S.p.A.
We have only evaluated the price offered to shareholders, but we wish also to draw your attention to the fact that there might be other issues or subjects in the offer, that might be difficult to adopt to for some shareholders.
Oslo, 8 July 1999
Very truly yours p.p. Den norske Bank ASA DnB Markets Sigmund Ellingbø Head of Corporate Finance
- Via Raffaele Paolucci 17r/19r - 16129 Genova - ITALIA
tel.: 010.2462122, fax: 010.2516768, e-mail
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Direttore responsabile Bruno Bellio Vietata la riproduzione, anche parziale, senza l'esplicito consenso dell'editore