Still uncertainty on the trend of the world-wide transport of the goods



Today the International Transport Forum (ITF) of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Develop (OCSE) has diffused own Statistics Brief on the course of the transport goods that evidences lasting of the uncertainty on the development of the exchanges that – the ITF explains – now is aggravated by the risks that the geopolitical events determine for the world-wide economy.

In particular, the quarterly relationship evidences that last December the level of the transport of goods for street, railway and marine way turned out inferior of the 5-15% regarding the volumes enlivened before the economic crisis. Vice versa the aerial transport has shown a full recovery, even if the last data evidence a slow down of the increase quite and bendings in some market.

The quarterly analysis of the ITF emphasizes that the general picture of the transport goods is however positive and the transported volumes of goods continues to grow. In the area EU the transported total foreign trade for sea and aerial way (in tons) turns out in increase regarding the precedence quarterly survey, while in the United States the increase has been less marked. However – the ITF specifies - the last data salary (Decembers 2010) exhibition that altogether for the exports and imports by sea the resumption is still weak person as the volumes, measured in transported tons of goods, are still beneath of the levels pre-crisis (EU27 -4%; USA -5%).

In particular, the foreign trade by sea shows variations from region to region: the marine commerce of the United States stagnates from september 2010 in terms of enlivened tons of goods and is diminished in the course of the last trimester of the 2010 regarding the trimester precedence above all regarding the Latin America. Data UE27, instead, are more dynamic, even if the trend for some segments (in particular the imports from China by sea) show a slow down and quite a decrease measured in transported tons of goods.

The International Transport permane Forums confirmation therefore that uncertainty on the resumption. If on one side altogether the air cargo has totally recovered, by the other the foreign trade of the United States in terms of tons of goods airlift (measured on the base of the destagionalizzati data) is come down for five consecutive months. Moreover in the last trimester of 2010 it is the foreign trade of the EU27 that of the United States for aerial way shows a slower increase or a decline in almost all the markets regarding the recorded progression in the quarter precedence.

The regional transport for railway way and street exhibition of the improvements. In the third trimester of 2010 the increase of the transport is resumption goods on the road in the zone EU measured using given destagionalizzati in realized ton-kilometers. It continues also the positive trend of the rail shipment. In the United States the volume of the rail shipment of the goods only is time of 5% beneath of the levels pre-crisis, while in the European area, in which the railroads had accused a greater decrease during the crisis, the volume is still of 14% beneath of the peak reached in according to trimester of 2008.