
According to Wood Mackenzie (WoodMac), a research and
energy sector, the new rules on
emissions from the European Union to the shipping sector are having a
dual impact on ships powered by liquefied natural gas. A
effect such that the choice of the engine would become the discriminating factor for
assess the commercial sustainability of the use of ships
newly built. WoodMac believes that "currently the type
of an engine installed on an LNG ship at the time of its
construction is the most important factor in relation to the
exposure to compliance costs. For a share
growing global fleet, the company noted
figures are backfiring on them."
According to WoodMac, the fleet of liquefied natural gas ships
is dividing in two: on the one hand, modern ships equipped with engines
two-stroke dual-fuel ME-GI, capable of running on both fuel and
conventional and LNG, which release a smaller quantity
of unburned methane and have higher compliance costs
on the sea routes to Europe, and on the other hand the most
with DFDE diesel-electric dual-fuel engines that are
accumulating compliance costs that, in WoodMac's opinion,
begin to undermine the economic convenience of their use. "The
owners who have invested in DFDE vessels expecting that
represented the solution for compliance with the standards -
noted Itzel Torruco, research analyst LNG Freight at Wood
Mackenzie - are faced with a more
uncomfortable. Under EU regulations in force from 2030, a DFDE vessel
on a European route is subject to sanctions that make it
commercially unattractive for rental companies. The window
time frame for retrofit or exit from the market is
narrowing and their
costs"
WoodMac explained that it is expected that by 2030 the cost of
ETS
EU FuelEU Maritime Regulation for the
VLSFO fuel with low sulfur content will be approximately
$1,256/tonne, a figure 131% higher than the cost alone
of fuel, and compares with the $705/tonne envisaged by the
regulatory framework of the International Maritime Organization.
In this regard, Torruco pointed out that the IMO vote
on the Global Strategy for the Decarbonisation of Maritime Transport
expected for next December "is the most
for LNG shipping in the last ten years. If the
regulatory framework of the IMO will be adopted and the EU will
recognised as aligned with the Paris Agreement -
explained the WoodMac researcher - the architecture for the
compliance that it took the operators two years to
building could be greatly simplified. In case
the overlap between the EU ETS, FuelEU Maritime and the
IMO regulatory framework will become the operating environment
permanent. This is a very different commercial proposal."