In quattro anni la capacità della flotta mondiale di portacontainer crescerà del 65%

La più recente previsione di AXS-Alphaliner sull'evoluzione della flotta mondiale di portacontainer indica per l'inizio del 2010 un incremento del 65% della capacità di trasporto rispetto a quella messa in campo all'inizio di quest'anno.

Particolarmente rilevante l'aumento delle navi di capacità superiore a 7.500 teu, che all'inizio del 2010 offriranno complessivamente spazi di carico per quasi 2,5 milioni di teu, con una crescita del 250% rispetto al 1' gennaio scorso. Consistente anche l'aumento (+69%) delle portacontainer di fascia compresa tra 5.000 e 7.500 teu, così come quello delle navi della capacità di 4.000-5.000 teu (+62%).

Cellular fleet projections 2006-2010
(based on orderbook as at 01 September 2006 and
assuming no ships are deleted after that date)

Fleet as at :		1st Jan 2006		1st Jan 2007		1st Jan 2008		1st Jan 2009		1st Jan 2010	Rise p.a.
											(3 years)
	ships	teu	ships	teu	ships	teu	ships	teu	ships	teu	teu terms

> 7 500 teu	86	708.291	146	1.237.698	190	1.652.060	243	2.144.368	279	2.481.006	44,7%
5 000 / 7 499 teu	310	1.789.551	357	2.073.264	402	2.338.060	470	2.740.238	516	3.023.822	15,3%
4 000 / 4 999 teu	309	1.360.850	344	1.513.247	387	1.705.293	457	2.011.794	502	2.204.151	13,9%
3 000 / 3 999 teu	266	898.800	284	958.870	313	1.057.883	330	1.116.223	344	1.162.855	7,5%
2 000 / 2 999 teu	592	1.478.193	658	1.656.828	731	1.848.604	781	1.979.932	800	2.029.248	10,2%
1 500 / 1 999 teu	444	748.182	472	796.678	527	892.118	582	989.607	607	1.033.766	9,8%
1 000 / 1 499 teu	550	651.409	610	720.683	683	806.729	722	852.688	732	865.156	9,4%
500 / 999 teu	670	482.435	744	542.295	842	620.250	891	661.081	906	673.531	11,1%
100 / 499 teu	391	123.726	391	123.786	391	123.786	391	123.786	391	123.786	0,0%

TOTAL	3.618	8.241.437	4.006	9.623.349	4.466	11.044.783	4.867	12.619.717	5.077	13.597.321	15,3%

Rise 12 months		12,8%		16,8%		14,8%		14,3%		7,7%

Fleet as at :		1st Jan 2006		1st Jan 2007		1st Jan 2008		1st Jan 2009		1st Jan 2010	Rise p.a.
											(3 years)
> 4 000 teu	705	3.858.692	847	4.824.209	979	5.695.413	1.170	6.896.400	1.297	7.708.979	21,4%
< 4 000 teu	2.913	4.382.745	3.159	4.799.140	3.487	5.349.370	3.697	5.723.317	3.780	5.888.342	9,3%

TOTAL	3.618	8.241.437	4.006	9.623.349	4.466	11.044.783	4.867	12.619.717	5.077	13.597.321	15,3%

Breakdown panamax / overpanamax
The purpose of this table is to provide a clear picture of the panamax fleet
(due to capacity overlap between Px and OPx ships)

Fleet as at :		1st Jan 2006		1st Jan 2007		1st Jan 2008		1st Jan 2009		1st Jan 2010	Rise p.a.
											(3 years)
> 7 500 teu	86	708.291	146	1.237.698	190	1.652.060	243	2.144.368	279	2.481.006	44,7%
6 000 / 7 499 teu	90	589.490	110	723.420	134	878.462	168	1.099.034	204	1.330.698	23,1%
Over Px < 6 000	215	1.158.266	228	1.232.407	232	1.255.959	249	1.351.703	251	1.362.823	5,3%
Px - 4 800 / 5 200	87	429.620	108	534.270	137	678.888	163	809.006	171	848.846	23,5%
Px - 4 000 / 4 799	227	973.025	256	1.096.414	287	1.230.044	348	1.492.289	382	1.636.009	15,3%

Cellular ships deliveries by year : 2006 / 2007 / 2008 / 2009
(based on orderbook as a 01 September 2006)

	2006	deliveries	2007	deliveries	2008	deliveries	2009	deliveries

	ships	teu	ships	teu	ships	teu	ships	teu

> 7 500 teu	60	529.407	44	414.362	53	492.308	36	336.638
5 000 / 7 499 teu	48	283.713	45	264.796	68	402.178	46	283.584
4 000 / 4 999 teu	35	152.397	43	192.046	70	306.501	45	192.357
3 000 / 3 999 teu	18	60.070	29	99.013	17	58.340	14	46.632
2 000 / 2 999 teu	68	182.664	73	191.776	50	131.328	19	49.316
1 500 / 1 999 teu	30	52.207	55	95.440	55	97.489	25	44.159
1 000 / 1 499 teu	60	69.274	73	86.046	39	45.959	10	12.468
500 / 999 teu	76	61.496	98	77.955	49	40.831	15	12.450
100 / 499 teu	2	800	0	0	0	0	0	0

TOTAL	397	1.392.028	460	1.421.434	401	1.574.934	210	977.604

	2006	deliveries	2007	deliveries	2008	deliveries	2009	deliveries

> 4 000 teu	143	965.517	132	871.204	191	1.200.987	127	812.579
< 4 000 teu	254	426.511	328	550.230	210	373.947	83	165.025

TOTAL	397	1.392.028	460	1.421.434	401	1.574.934	210	977.604

Breakdown panamax / overpanamax
The purpose of this table is to provide a clear picture of the panamax fleet
(due to capacity overlap between Px and OPx ships)

	2006	deliveries	2007	deliveries	2008	deliveries	2009	deliveries

> 7 500 teu	60	529.407	44	414.362	53	492.308	36	336.638
6 000 / 7 499 teu	20	133.930	24	155.042	34	220.572	36	231.664
Over Px < 6 000	13	74.141	4	23.552	17	95.744	2	11.120
Px - 4 800 / 5 200	21	104.650	29	144.618	26	130.118	8	39.840
Px - 4 000 / 4 799	29	123.389	31	133.630	61	262.245	34	143.720

* 2010 : figures are far from definitive as shipyards can still accept orders for 2009 delivery

** Rise p.a. represents the average per annum growth during the three years 2006-2007-2008.

Source : AXS-Alphaliner