 La più recente previsione di AXS-Alphaliner sull'evoluzione della flotta mondiale di portacontainer indica per l'inizio del 2010 un incremento del 65% della capacità di trasporto rispetto a quella messa in campo all'inizio di quest'anno.
Particolarmente rilevante l'aumento delle navi di capacità superiore a 7.500 teu, che all'inizio del 2010 offriranno complessivamente spazi di carico per quasi 2,5 milioni di teu, con una crescita del 250% rispetto al 1' gennaio scorso. Consistente anche l'aumento (+69%) delle portacontainer di fascia compresa tra 5.000 e 7.500 teu, così come quello delle navi della capacità di 4.000-5.000 teu (+62%).
Cellular fleet projections 2006-2010
(based on orderbook as at 01 September 2006 and
assuming no ships are deleted after that date)
Fleet as at : |
1st Jan 2006 |
1st Jan 2007 |
1st Jan 2008 |
1st Jan 2009 |
1st Jan 2010 |
Rise p.a. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3 years) |
| |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
|
teu terms |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 7 500 teu |
86 |
708.291 |
146 |
1.237.698 |
190 |
1.652.060 |
243 |
2.144.368 |
279 |
2.481.006 |
|
44,7% |
5 000 / 7 499 teu |
310 |
1.789.551 |
357 |
2.073.264 |
402 |
2.338.060 |
470 |
2.740.238 |
516 |
3.023.822 |
|
15,3% |
4 000 / 4 999 teu |
309 |
1.360.850 |
344 |
1.513.247 |
387 |
1.705.293 |
457 |
2.011.794 |
502 |
2.204.151 |
|
13,9% |
3 000 / 3 999 teu |
266 |
898.800 |
284 |
958.870 |
313 |
1.057.883 |
330 |
1.116.223 |
344 |
1.162.855 |
|
7,5% |
2 000 / 2 999 teu |
592 |
1.478.193 |
658 |
1.656.828 |
731 |
1.848.604 |
781 |
1.979.932 |
800 |
2.029.248 |
|
10,2% |
1 500 / 1 999 teu |
444 |
748.182 |
472 |
796.678 |
527 |
892.118 |
582 |
989.607 |
607 |
1.033.766 |
|
9,8% |
1 000 / 1 499 teu |
550 |
651.409 |
610 |
720.683 |
683 |
806.729 |
722 |
852.688 |
732 |
865.156 |
|
9,4% |
500 / 999 teu |
670 |
482.435 |
744 |
542.295 |
842 |
620.250 |
891 |
661.081 |
906 |
673.531 |
|
11,1% |
100 / 499 teu |
391 |
123.726 |
391 |
123.786 |
391 |
123.786 |
391 |
123.786 |
391 |
123.786 |
|
0,0% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
3.618 |
8.241.437 |
4.006 |
9.623.349 |
4.466 |
11.044.783 |
4.867 |
12.619.717 |
5.077 |
13.597.321 |
|
15,3% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rise 12 months |
12,8% |
|
16,8% |
|
14,8% |
|
14,3% |
|
7,7% |
|
|
Fleet as at : |
|
1st Jan 2006 |
1st Jan 2007 |
1st Jan 2008 |
1st Jan 2009 |
1st Jan 2010 |
Rise p.a. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3 years) |
> 4 000 teu |
705 |
3.858.692 |
847 |
4.824.209 |
979 |
5.695.413 |
1.170 |
6.896.400 |
1.297 |
7.708.979 |
|
21,4% |
< 4 000 teu |
2.913 |
4.382.745 |
3.159 |
4.799.140 |
3.487 |
5.349.370 |
3.697 |
5.723.317 |
3.780 |
5.888.342 |
|
9,3% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
3.618 |
8.241.437 |
4.006 |
9.623.349 |
4.466 |
11.044.783 |
4.867 |
12.619.717 |
5.077 |
13.597.321 |
|
15,3% |
Breakdown panamax / overpanamax
The purpose of this table is to provide a clear picture of the panamax fleet
(due to capacity overlap between Px and OPx ships)
Fleet as at : |
|
1st Jan 2006 |
1st Jan 2007 |
1st Jan 2008 |
1st Jan 2009 |
1st Jan 2010 |
Rise p.a. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3 years) |
> 7 500 teu |
86 |
708.291 |
146 |
1.237.698 |
190 |
1.652.060 |
243 |
2.144.368 |
279 |
2.481.006 |
|
44,7% |
6 000 / 7 499 teu |
90 |
589.490 |
110 |
723.420 |
134 |
878.462 |
168 |
1.099.034 |
204 |
1.330.698 |
|
23,1% |
Over Px < 6 000 |
215 |
1.158.266 |
228 |
1.232.407 |
232 |
1.255.959 |
249 |
1.351.703 |
251 |
1.362.823 |
|
5,3% |
Px - 4 800 / 5 200 |
87 |
429.620 |
108 |
534.270 |
137 |
678.888 |
163 |
809.006 |
171 |
848.846 |
|
23,5% |
Px - 4 000 / 4 799 |
227 |
973.025 |
256 |
1.096.414 |
287 |
1.230.044 |
348 |
1.492.289 |
382 |
1.636.009 |
|
15,3% |
Cellular ships deliveries by year : 2006 / 2007 / 2008 / 2009
(based on orderbook as a 01 September 2006)
| |
2006 |
deliveries |
2007 |
deliveries |
2008 |
deliveries |
2009 |
deliveries |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
ships |
teu |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 7 500 teu |
60 |
529.407 |
44 |
414.362 |
53 |
492.308 |
36 |
336.638 |
5 000 / 7 499 teu |
48 |
283.713 |
45 |
264.796 |
68 |
402.178 |
46 |
283.584 |
4 000 / 4 999 teu |
35 |
152.397 |
43 |
192.046 |
70 |
306.501 |
45 |
192.357 |
3 000 / 3 999 teu |
18 |
60.070 |
29 |
99.013 |
17 |
58.340 |
14 |
46.632 |
2 000 / 2 999 teu |
68 |
182.664 |
73 |
191.776 |
50 |
131.328 |
19 |
49.316 |
1 500 / 1 999 teu |
30 |
52.207 |
55 |
95.440 |
55 |
97.489 |
25 |
44.159 |
1 000 / 1 499 teu |
60 |
69.274 |
73 |
86.046 |
39 |
45.959 |
10 |
12.468 |
500 / 999 teu |
76 |
61.496 |
98 |
77.955 |
49 |
40.831 |
15 |
12.450 |
100 / 499 teu |
2 |
800 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
397 |
1.392.028 |
460 |
1.421.434 |
401 |
1.574.934 |
210 |
977.604 |
| |
2006 |
deliveries |
2007 |
deliveries |
2008 |
deliveries |
2009 |
deliveries |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 4 000 teu |
143 |
965.517 |
132 |
871.204 |
191 |
1.200.987 |
127 |
812.579 |
< 4 000 teu |
254 |
426.511 |
328 |
550.230 |
210 |
373.947 |
83 |
165.025 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TOTAL |
397 |
1.392.028 |
460 |
1.421.434 |
401 |
1.574.934 |
210 |
977.604 |
Breakdown panamax / overpanamax
The purpose of this table is to provide a clear picture of the panamax fleet
(due to capacity overlap between Px and OPx ships)
| |
2006 |
deliveries |
2007 |
deliveries |
2008 |
deliveries |
2009 |
deliveries |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 7 500 teu |
60 |
529.407 |
44 |
414.362 |
53 |
492.308 |
36 |
336.638 |
6 000 / 7 499 teu |
20 |
133.930 |
24 |
155.042 |
34 |
220.572 |
36 |
231.664 |
Over Px < 6 000 |
13 |
74.141 |
4 |
23.552 |
17 |
95.744 |
2 |
11.120 |
Px - 4 800 / 5 200 |
21 |
104.650 |
29 |
144.618 |
26 |
130.118 |
8 |
39.840 |
Px - 4 000 / 4 799 |
29 |
123.389 |
31 |
133.630 |
61 |
262.245 |
34 |
143.720 |
* 2010 : figures are far from definitive as shipyards can still accept orders for 2009 delivery |
** Rise p.a. represents the average per annum growth during the three years 2006-2007-2008. |
Source : AXS-Alphaliner |
|
|
- Via Raffaele Paolucci 17r/19r - 16129 Genova - ITALIA
